TYPHOON MIRINAE EXPECTED TO HIT MMLA TOMORROW 8-10A

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 1030A OCTOBER 30, 2009)

TYPHOON MIRINAE (23W/SANTI)

EYE

RAIN ANALYSIS

PRESSURE

STRUCTURE

WIND

TYPHOON MIRINAE (23W/SANTI)

CATEGORY 2

LOCATION: 14.54N, 125.34E (435KM E METRO MANILA)
MSLP: 956MB
WINDSPEED: 90-110KT (167-204KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW TO W 12KT/22KPH
RAINFALL: +35-50MM/HR (+0.58-0.83MM/MIN)
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -78.48C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: SEVERE-INTENSE (-80.98C)
VORTICES: 150
NEXT 12HRS: 95KT/176KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 980.08MB VMAX: 67KT/124KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.1MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 983.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.0MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 958.9MB VMAX: 90KT/167KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 988MB VMAX: 64KT/119KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 986MB VMAX: 67KT/124KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 90KT/167KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 150-185KPH

EXPECTED LANDFALL: BASED ON CURRENT SPEED (SUBJECT TO CHANGES)

SOUTHERN POLILIO IS: 12-2A TOMORROW

QUEZON: 3A-4A TOMORROW

NORTHERN LAGUNA: 4A-5A

METRO MANILA : 5A-6A

SOUTHERN BATAAN: 8A-9A

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TYPHOON MIRINAE SLOWED ITS INTENSITY, THREATHERNS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LUZON

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 29, 2009)

TYPHOON MIRINAE (23W/SANTI)

FORECAST

EYE
RAINANALYSIS

PRESSURE/STEERING INFLUENCE
STRUCTURE
WIND

TYPHOON MIRINAE (23W/SANTI)

CATEGORY 2
LOCATION: 15.93N, 130.98E (900KM E CASIGURAN, AURORA)
MSLP: 956MB
WINDSPEED: 90-110KT (167-204KPH)
MOVEMENT: W to WSW 17KT/31KPH
RAINFALL: +25-35MM/HR (+0.42-0.58MM/MIN)
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -37.86C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-63.65C)
VORTICES: 150
NEXT 12HRS: 95-100KT/176-185KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 978.53MB VMAX: 69KT/128KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 981.6MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 981.8MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 983.3MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 959.5MB VMAX: 93KT/163KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 987MB VMAX: 66KT/102KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 978MB VMAX: 73KT/115KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 93KT/157KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 150-185KPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

MIRINAE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED ENTERS PAR TONIGHT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 10A OCTOBER 28, 2009)

TYPHOON MIRINAE (23W/SANTI)

FORECAST

PRESSURE/STEERING INFLUENCE

EYE

STRUCTURE

TYPHOON MIRINAE (SANTI/23W)

CATEGORY 1
LOCATION: 16.29N, 137.93E (1595KM E CASIGURAN, AURORA [295KM E PAR])
MSLP: 967MB
WINDSPEED: 75-90KT (139-167KPH)
MOVEMENT: W 15KT/28KPH
RAINFALL: +35-50MM/HR (+0.58-0.83MM/MIN)
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -63.66C (CDO)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: SEVERE-INTENSE (-76.73C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 85-90KT/157-167KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 983.62MB VMAX: 63KT/117KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 981.6MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 981.6MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 981.6MB VMAX: 61KT/113KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 984.9MB VMAX: 66KT/122KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 989MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 983MB VMAX: 70KT/130KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 75KT/139KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 85-100KPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

MIRINAE HIT LAND NEAR SAIPAN, HEADING FAST TOWARDS LUZON

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 27, 2009)

TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

FORECAST TRACK

PRESSURE

RAIN ANALYSIS

STRUCTURE
VORTICITY AND VAPOR

TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

MINIMAL STAGE

LOCATION: 14.43N, 144.15E (105KM W SAIPAN, GUAM [915KM E PAR])
MSLP: 996MB
WINDSPEED: 35-45KT (65-83KPH)
MOVEMENT: W 15KT/28KPH
RAINFALL: +35-50MM/HR (+0.58-0.83MM/MIN)
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -68.20C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: SEVERE-INTENSE (-61.18C)
VORTICES: 150
NEXT 12HRS: 50KT/93KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 991.03MB VMAX: 49KT/90KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 988.2MB VMAX: 49KT/91KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 991.0MB VMAX: 45KT/83KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 57KT/106KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1000.6MB VMAX: 34KT/63KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 992MB VMAX: 54KT/100KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 992MB VMAX: 53KT/98KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 36KT/67KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 65-80KPH

NOTE: click pressure imagery to see possible scenario.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOP AS LUPIT BECOMES EXTRA TROPICAL CYCLONE

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 26, 2009)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

ECMWF TRACK

RAINFALL ANALYSIS
WIND

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

MINIMAL STAGE

LOCATION: 12.53N, 150.0E (MICRONESIA ISLAND [1500KM E PAR])
MSLP: 1002MB
WINDSPEED: 25-35KT (46-65KPH)
MOVEMENT: WNW 10KT/19KPH
RAINFALL: +25-35MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -33.24C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-57.86C)
VORTICES: 50
NEXT 12HRS: 35KT/65KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 1002.1MB VMAX: 35KT/64KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 1002.4MB VMAX: 26KT/48KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 1000.6MB VMAX: 29KT/54KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1003.5MB VMAX: 39KT/72KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 1002MB VMAX: 42KT/78KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 1002MB VMAX: 38KT/70KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 26KT/48KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 55KPH

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (22W/RAMIL)

MINIMAL STAGE

LOCATION: 29.15N, 135.69E (SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN)
MSLP: 993MB
WINDSPEED: 40-50KT (74-93KPH)
MOVEMENT: NE 18KT/33KPH
RAINRATE: +2.5MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): +14.07C (SHEARED)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: DRIZZLE (+4.54C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 40KT/74KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 996.05MB VMAX: 40KT/74KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 1000.9MB VMAX: 26KT/48KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 1001.7MB VMAX: 25KT/46KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 1001.5MB VMAX: 25KT/46KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 994.2MB VMAX: 53KT/98KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 988MB VMAX: 58KT/107KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 990MB VMAX: 53KT/98KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 40KT/74KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: N/AKPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

95W INVEST WILL DEVELOP, EXPECTED TO BE NEAR MMLA BY SAT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 4P OCTOBER 25, 2009)

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) INFORMATION AND NEW FORECAST FOR NEW EXPECTED TC

FORECAST TRACK OF POSSIBLE NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE (95W INVEST)

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY

VORTICITY

RAINFALL ANALYSIS 95W INVEST

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

INTENSE STORM
LOCATION: 25.61N, 129.04E (105KM SE RYUKU IS)
MSLP: 978MB
WINDSPEED: 60-75KT (111-139KPH)
MOVEMENT: NE 11KT/20KPH
RAINRATE: +20MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -20.18C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: MODERATE (-33.89C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 50-55KT/93-102KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 985.82MB VMAX: 53KT/98KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 991.8MB VMAX: 43KT/80KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 990.8MB VMAX: 45KT/83KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 995.4MB VMAX: 37KT/69KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 984.9MB VMAX: 58KT/107KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 975MB VMAX: 72KT/133KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 977MB VMAX: 64KT/119KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 60KT/111KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: N/AKPH


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W INVEST

SEVERE ALERT STAGE
LOCATION: 11.4N, 153.8E (MICRONESIA ISLAND [1880KM E PAR])
MSLP: 1006MB
WINDSPEED: 15KT (28KPH)
MOVEMENT: WNW 10KT/19KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -0C
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (0C)
VORTICES: 0
NEXT 12HRS: 20-25KT/37-46KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 1006.5MB VMAX: 31KT/57KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1006.5MB VMAX: 31KT/57KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 0KPH

NOTE:

95w invest which is expected to develop within this week is heading towards Luzon (near Metro manila) by this week based on ECMWF model

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

LUPIT STILL WEAKENING, SLOWLY MOVING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 10A OCTOBER 23, 2009)

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

EYE
RAIN ANALYSIS
STRUCTURE
WIND

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

INTENSE STAGE

LOCATION: 18.63N, 123.12E (110KM ENE APARRI, CAGAYAN)
MSLP: 978MB
WINDSPEED: 60-75KT (111-139KPH)
MOVEMENT: W 3KT/6KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -64.33C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-68.68C)
VORTICES: 250
NEXT 12HRS: 60-65KT/111-120KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 972.95MB VMAX: 71KT/132KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 965.3MB VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 965.3MB VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 978.7MB VMAX: 67KT/124KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 60KT/120KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 120-150KPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWED DOWN BEGINNING ITS POLEWARD MOVEMENT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 230P OCTOBER 22, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

72-120HR FORECAST TRACK

PRESSURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
VORTICITY AND VAPOR IMAGERY

WIND

OCT 29-31 ECMWF FORECAST FOR NEW DISTURBANCE

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 1

LOCATION: 18.80N, 124.56E (255KM E CALAYAN GROUP)
MSLP: 963MB
WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW 5KT/9KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -61.07C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-58.34C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 80-85KT/148-157KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 969.2MB VMAX: 75KT/139KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 957.1MB VMAX: 87KT/161KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 954MB VMAX: 98KT/181KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 957MB VMAX: 88KT/163KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 160-195KPH

NOTE:

Lupit expected to moves more poleward after 72 hours as the said ridge likely to break and thus allow poleward channel to developed over to the NE quandrant of Lupit. This is the reason why Lupit slowly moving and eventually remain stationary for the next 24-48hrs.

Another tropical cyclone likely to develop from oct 29-31 based on ECMWF model.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

LUPIT LIKELY TO SPARE NORTHERN LUZON.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 930P OCTOBER 21, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 1
LOCATION: 19.49N, 125.52E (320KM ESE BASCO, BATANES)
MSLP: 963MB
WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW 7KT/13KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -19.06C (EYE)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-66.55C)
VORTICES: 250
NEXT 12HRS: 80-90KT/148-167KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 967.2MB VMAX: 79KT/146KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.2MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 982.3MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 983.8MB VMAX: 57KT/117KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 963.0MB VMAX: 86KT/170KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 944MB VMAX: 112KT/189KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 948MB VMAX: 99KT/170KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 175-210KPH

NOTE: Lupit expected to spare Cagayan and the rest of northern Luzon as low pressure trough expected to weakens the high pressure ridge over North and thus again expected to slow down lupit before moving pole ward. This is based on latest models including ECMWF which shows a more poleward movement beginning saturday and sunday.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TYPHOON LUPIT LIKELY TO SPARE CAGAYAN, BATANES-TAIWAN AREA MOSTLY TO BE HIT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 10A OCTOBER 21, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

OCTOBER 23, 2009 12:00UTC

OCTOBER 24, 2009 12:00UTC

OCTOBER 25, 2009 12:00UTC

OCTOBER 26, 2009 12:00UTC

OCTOBER 27, 2009 12:00UTC

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 2

LOCATION: 19.99N, 126.76E (475KM ESE BASCO, BATANES)

MSLP: 963MB

WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)

MOVEMENT: WSW 9KT/17KPH

RAINRATE: +30MM/HR

CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -64.33C (CENTER)

DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY (-66.95C)

VORTICES: 250

NEXT 12HRS: 80-90KT/148-167KPH

DVORAK

MSLP : 967.08MB VMAX: 78KT/144KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:

(JTWC): MSLP : 982.1MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH

(RSMC): MSLP : 982.0MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH

(CIMSS): MSLP : 978.8MB VMAX: 63KT/117KPH

(RAMMB-CIRA): 954.6MB VMAX: 92KT/170KPH

(AMSU): MSLP: 951MB VMAX: 102KT/189KPH

(SATCON): MSLP: 954MB VMAX: 92KT/170KPH

(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH

(PAGASA): VMAX: 175-210KPH

NOTE: Based on new forecast by ECMWF shows that lupit is most likely to spare Cagayan region by direct hit rather a possible weakness of high over north of it will eventually shift the system more westward towards Batanes-Taiwan area. However, stormy weather still expected over those areas over northern luzon by friday-saturday. It is more likely to weakens further as drier air entraping to its circulation.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TYPHOON LUPIT WEAKENS AS IT MOVES MORE WSW DIRECTION

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 20, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

WIND

STRUCTURE

RAIN ANALYSIS

PRESSURE

EYE

FORECAST OCT 22, 2009 12:00UTC

FORECAST OCT 23, 2009 12:00UTC

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 2

LOCATION: 20.24N, 129.66E (765KM E BASCO, BATANES)
MSLP: 952MB
WINDSPEED: 95-115KT (176-213KPH)
MOVEMENT: W TO WSW 8KT/15KPH
RAINRATE: +30-50MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -72.83C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-INTENSE (-70.12C)
VORTICES: 300
NEXT 12HRS: 120-125KT/222-232KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 950.08MB VMAX: 96KT/177KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 960.0MB VMAX: 85KT/157KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 957.6MB VMAX: 87KT/162KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 955.1MB VMAX: 90KT/167KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 929.8MB VMAX: 105KT/194KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 948MB VMAX: 106KT/196KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 950MB VMAX: 100KT/185KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 95KT/176KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 195-230KPH

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST

ALERT

LOCATION: 17.5N, 110.2E (180KM ESE HAINAN, CHINA)
MSLP: 1006MB
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
MOVEMENT: STATIONARY
RAINRATE: +30MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -N/AC
CONVECTION: HEAVY (N/AC)
NEXT 12HRS: 15KT/28KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): MSLP: 0MB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 0KPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT THREATHENS LUZON.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 19, 2009)

SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

WIND
VORTICITY AND WATER VAPOR
FORECAST TRACK
STRUCTURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
PRESSURE AND EXPLANATION
EYE OF RAMIL
POSITION BASED ON ECMWF MODEL 12:00UTC OCTOBER 21
POSITION BASED ON ECMWF MODEL 12:00UTC OCTOBER 22

AS OF 130P

SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 4

LOCATION: 19.00N, 133.28E (1130KM E CALAYAN IS.)
MSLP: 922MB
WINDSPEED: 135-165KT (250-306KPH)
MOVEMENT: WNW TO W SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): +3.08C (EYE)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-73.73C)
VORTICES: 300
NEXT 12HRS: 135-140KT/250-259KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 913.32MB VMAX: 132KT/244KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 906.9MB VMAX: 136KT/252KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 930MB VMAX: 126KT/233KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 925MB VMAX: 122KT/226KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 135KT/257KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 175-210KPH

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST

SEVERE ALERT

LOCATION: 16.6N, 110.3E (230KM E NORTHERN VIETNAM)
MSLP: 1006MB
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT (37-46KPH)
MOVEMENT: NNW SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -N/AC
CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (N/AC)
NEXT 12HRS: 20KT/37KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 1003.2MB VMAX: 22KT/41KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): MSLP: 1003.5MB VMAX: 23KT/43KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 0KPH

NOTE: POSSIBLE SCENARIO WILL BE SEEN AT PRESSURE IMAGE PLEASE CLICK TO SEE HIGHER RESOLUTION.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK