MIRINAE HIT LAND NEAR SAIPAN, HEADING FAST TOWARDS LUZON

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 27, 2009)

TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

FORECAST TRACK

PRESSURE

RAIN ANALYSIS

STRUCTURE
VORTICITY AND VAPOR

TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W/PRE-SANTI)

MINIMAL STAGE

LOCATION: 14.43N, 144.15E (105KM W SAIPAN, GUAM [915KM E PAR])
MSLP: 996MB
WINDSPEED: 35-45KT (65-83KPH)
MOVEMENT: W 15KT/28KPH
RAINFALL: +35-50MM/HR (+0.58-0.83MM/MIN)
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -68.20C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: SEVERE-INTENSE (-61.18C)
VORTICES: 150
NEXT 12HRS: 50KT/93KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 991.03MB VMAX: 49KT/90KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 988.2MB VMAX: 49KT/91KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 991.0MB VMAX: 45KT/83KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 57KT/106KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1000.6MB VMAX: 34KT/63KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 992MB VMAX: 54KT/100KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 992MB VMAX: 53KT/98KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 36KT/67KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 65-80KPH

NOTE: click pressure imagery to see possible scenario.

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