TODAY IS WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

CLICK IMAGERIES TO REDIRECT ON COMPLETE IMAGERIES AND INFORMATIONS (Imageries will be seen after Philippines imagery below)

CHAN-HOM/09W

LOW 94W

LOW 96W

RAQUEL/25P

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

2015 NUMBER OF WESTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES (CLICK TO SEE DATA):SIX (06)

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES REALTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

(CLICK IMAGERY TO ANIMATE)

WESTERN PACIFIC THERMAL IR IMAGERY (UPDATED EVERY 10 MINUTES)


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Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)


REAL TIME 3 HOURS UPDATED SURFACE WIND AND PRESSURE. CLICK EARTH TO CHANGE VIEW. CLICK MAP TO KNOW VALUE/DATA
CREDIT: EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET
Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

PHILIPPINE WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINE WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

JUNE 30, 2015 10AM (NEXT 24HRS)

SYNOPSIS: ITCZ OVER THE COUNTRY

METRO MANILA

Generally partly cloudy with 55% chance of isolated rainshower and/or thunderstorm

WIND FORECAST: SW TO WSW at 10-20kph

LUZON

Generally partly cloudy with 47% chance of isolated rainshower and/or thunderstorms

WIND FORECAST: WSW TO SW at 10-20kph

VISAYAS

Generally cloudy with 64% chance of scattered rainshower and/or thunderstorms

WIND FORECAST: CHANGEABLE at 5-10kph

MINDANAO

Mostly cloudy with 59% chance of scattered rainshower and/or thunderstorms

WIND FORECAST: CHANGEABLE at 5-10kph

MODEL FORECAST

95W likely to develop into TC within the next 12hrs as 94W continues to struggle but its vorticity intensified for the past 12hrs indicating its intensifying also, but model forecast mmore favour of fujiwara effect of this system before it will be absorb by more stronger 95W. Another area of concern east of Mindanao intensified also and possibly become a tropical disturbance by 12-24hrs.

BASED ON GFS FORECAST MODEL
AS OF 1800UTC
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W
HOURS
TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
FORECAST MAX SURFACE WIND (IN KPH) 36 36 45 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORECAST MAX WIND AT 850MB/LOWER TROPOSPHERE (IN KPH) 54 45 54 54 0 0 0 0 0 0
AVERAGE WINDSPEED FROM SURFACE TO LOWER TROPOSPHERE 45 41 50 50 0 0 0 0 0 0
CATEGORY TCFA TCFA MD MD NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
LOCATION 9N149E 9N150.5E 9N150.5E 8N151E MERGE 0 0 0 0 0
                     
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 95W
HOURS
TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
FORECAST MAX SURFACE WIND (IN KPH) 45 54 63 72 72 81 81 90 108 90
FORECAST MAX WIND AT 850MB/LOWER TROPOSPHERE (IN KPH) 54 81 99 99 117 99 108 108 144 144
AVERAGE WINDSPEED FROM SURFACE TO LOWER TROPOSPHERE 50 68 81 86 95 90 95 99 126 117
CATEGORY MD MTS MTS STS STS STS STS STS TY1 ITS
LOCATION 9N160.8E 10N160E 10.2N158.2E 11N155E 11N151E 11N149E 10.8N147.8E 10.8N147E 11.8N145E 13N146E
                     

RAINFALL FORECAST DATA AND PROBABILITY PERCENTAGE (3 DAYS OVER SELECTED CITIES): SEE DATA BELOW

LUZON 30-Jun 1-Jul 2-Jul
BATANES 0 0 0.2
CALAYAN ISLAND 0.5 0 0
ITBAYAT 0 0 0
ALABAT 7.3 0 2.2
APARRI 19.8 28.1 19.3
TUGUEGARAO 13.6 21.9 21.9
LAOAG 0 0.4 1.3
BAGUIO 6.1 5.4 5.7
DAGUPAN 1.9 0.2 0
CASIGURAN 5.6 14.8 11.1
BALER 2.6 0.9 0
CABANATUAN 1.8 0 0
TAYABAS, QUEZON 5.2 6.3 3.2
SUBIC 0.8 0.6 0.3
METRO MANILA 1 0 0
SANGLEY POINT 0 0 0
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 4.8 0 0.5
DAET 10.8 1.8 0
CATANDUANES 5.8 0 0
LEGASPI 15.2 0 0
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 5 9.2 14.5
CALAPAN, MINDORO 0 0 1.4
MASBATE 20.5 0 6.2
ROMBLON 9.6 3.9 11.2
CUYO ISLAND 19.3 17.5 19.6
CORON ISLAND 26.1 33.7 36.5
PUERTO PRINCESA 3.7 16.9 18.4
VISAYAS 30-Jun 1-Jul 2-Jul
CATARMAN, SAMAR 6 1.5 0
CATBALOGAN 25.2 18.5 11.1
TACLOBAN CITY 17.6 0 4.8
ROXAS CITY 12.2 6.7 13.6
ILOILO 46.3 45.9 58.3
DUMAGUETE 2.7 5.3 9.6
CEBU CITY 11.4 3.4 1.3
MACTAN 11.5 2.5 1
MINDANAO 30-Jun 1-Jul 2-Jul
MALAYBALAY 7 12 12.8
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 0.9 6.7 7.8
DAVAO 0 0 0
DIPOLOG 12.4 25.6 36.9
COTABATO CITY 5.3 10 9.2
HINATUAN 18.5 15.7 16.8
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 9.6 9.7 11.7
SURIGAO CITY 26.3 12.5 19.2
ZAMBOANGA CITY 3.2 16.7 19.7
       
LEGEND (in millimeters)
LIGHT <7.5mm
MODERATE <22.5mm
HEAVY <45mm
VERY HEAVY <57.5mm
INTENSE <90mm
TORRENTIAL >90mm
       
RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY
       
LUZON 30-Jun 1-Jul 2-Jul
BATANES 15.00% 30.00% 60.00%
CALAYAN ISLAND 5.00% 5.00% 10.00%
ITBAYAT 30.00% 5.00% 10.00%
ALABAT 60.00% 35.00% 55.00%
APARRI 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
TUGUEGARAO 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
LAOAG 15.00% 30.00% 55.00%
BAGUIO 70.00% 55.00% 55.00%
DAGUPAN 40.00% 30.00% 30.00%
CASIGURAN 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
BALER 15.00% 55.00% 5.00%
CABANATUAN 55.00% 20.00% 15.00%
TAYABAS, QUEZON 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
SUBIC 35.00% 45.00% 70.00%
METRO MANILA 55.00% 40.00% 35.00%
SANGLEY POINT 25.00% 10.00% 20.00%
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 55.00% 40.00% 55.00%
DAET 60.00% 35.00% 25.00%
CATANDUANES 60.00% 30.00% 35.00%
LEGASPI 65.00% 40.00% 35.00%
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 60.00% 55.00% 60.00%
CALAPAN, MINDORO 5.00% 5.00% 55.00%
MASBATE 55.00% 40.00% 45.00%
ROMBLON 55.00% 20.00% 55.00%
CUYO ISLAND 85.00% 95.00% 90.00%
CORON ISLAND 65.00% 75.00% 80.00%
PUERTO PRINCESA 55.00% 70.00% 90.00%
       
VISAYAS      
CATARMAN, SAMAR 55.00% 55.00% 35.00%
CATBALOGAN 75.00% 55.00% 55.00%
TACLOBAN CITY 65.00% 45.00% 55.00%
ROXAS CITY 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
ILOILO 80.00% 70.00% 90.00%
DUMAGUETE 70.00% 70.00% 75.00%
CEBU CITY 55.00% 55.00% 60.00%
MACTAN 55.00% 55.00% 65.00%
       
MINDANAO      
MALAYBALAY 65.00% 65.00% 75.00%
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 55.00% 60.00% 65.00%
DAVAO 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%
DIPOLOG 65.00% 60.00% 60.00%
COTABATO CITY 55.00% 60.00% 55.00%
HINATUAN 65.00% 60.00% 60.00%
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 75.00% 75.00% 90.00%
SURIGAO CITY 65.00% 60.00% 80.00%
ZAMBOANGA CITY 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
       

NOTE: RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY means a percentage of chance of rain in specific area (also known as Probability of Precipitation). example, Metro manila: 20.00mm moderate at 70%. This means metro manila has a 70% chance of rain and 30% chance of dry with possible amount of 20mm within a period given. However, if this will be the data, Metro manila: 0mm none at 30%. This means although there is 30% chance of rain and 70% chance of dry, the amount of rain is unknown or unsetteled.

BELOW ARE REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERIES, PHILIPPINE DOPPLER RADAR ANIMATION, 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY

REAL TIME FUNKTOP ANIMATION (Highlights intense areas of precipitation)


-30°C: +2.5mm; -50°C: +5mm; -70°C: +15mm; -85°C: +25mm; -95°C: +35mm; -110°C: +50mm

REAL TIME WATER VAPOR ANIMATION




REAL TIME PRECIPITATION


METRO MANILA STATION
BAGUIO STATION
APARRI STATION
SUBIC
TAGAYTAY
BALER STATION
VIRAC STATION
CEBU STATION
HINATUAN STATION
SOUTH COTABATO



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND

10 DAYS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




REALTIME OUTGOING LONG WAVE RADIATIONS

DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2015 All rights reserved)

THREE FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY

DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE AMSU RAINRATE TRMM RAINRATE
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
DARK RED-ORANGE: DRY; WHITE-MULTI COLOR: MOIST

TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK

TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE BASED ON DVORAK IMAGERY

TO ESTIMATE CURRENT INTENSITY
STAGEDESCRIPTIONINTENSITYSEA LEVEL PRESSURECI NUMBER
0WARNING15kt/28kph1008mb0
1 TC FORMATIONALERT20kt/37kph1004mb1.0
2 DEPRESSION MINIMAL25kt/46kph1002mb1.5
3STRONG 30kt/56kph1000mb2.0
4 STORM MINIMAL35kt/65kph997mb2.5
5STRONG45kt/83kph991mb3.0
6INTENSE55kt/102kph984mb3.5
7 TYPHOON CATEGORY 165kt/120kph976mb4.0
81-277kt/143kph966mb4.5
92-390kt/167kph954mb5.0
103102kt/189kph941mb5.5
114115kt/213kph941mb6.0
12 SUPER 4127kt/235kph924mb6.5
135140kt/259kph898mb7.0
14 INTENSE 5155kt/287kph879mb7.5
15 5170kt/315kph858mb8.0

NOTE: CATEGORY 1 (64-83KT); CATEGORY 2 (84-96KT); CATEGORY 3 (97-113KT); CATEGORY 4 (114-135KT); CATEGORY 5 (136+KT)

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UPDATED ONCE EVERY 5 MINUTES. GLOBAL SATELLITE VIEWS ARE UPDATED ONCE EVERY 3 HRS. CALENDAR DAY HIGHLIGHTED IN ORANGE, WITH FEDERAL HOLIDAY IN GREY/GREEN BOXES. SUN ACTUAL POSITION SEEN WITHIN THE MAP