ALL INFORMATIONS AND/OR DATA PUBLISHED ON THIS BLOG ARE SUPPORTED BY ALL WEATHER AGENCIES (SEE BELOW OF THIS BLOG). THIS WAS DONE FOR RECORDS AND USAGE FOR REAL TIME OBSERVATIONS RELEVANT TO TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATIONS AND WEATHER UPDATES. KINDLY REFER TO YOUR RESPECTIVE WEATHER AGENCIES FOR UP TO DATE INFORMATIONS. PLEASE REFRESH THIS BLOG TO HAVE AN UP TO DATE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
WEATHER FORECAST AND ANALYSIS AS OF MAY 24, 2013 11:00A
SYNOPSIS
FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN LUZON, WIND CONVERGENCE OVER VISAYAS AND MINDANAO
DAILY TOTAL
RAINFALL FORECAST (IN MILLIMETER)
CITY
24-May
25-May
26-May
27-May
28-May
29-May
METRO MANILA
21.8
17.2
21.7
29.7
21.2
0
DESCRIPTION
MODERATE
MODERATE
MODERATE
MODERATE
MODERATE
NONE
BATAN
5.9
10.6
5.3
0
0.3
1.5
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
LIGHT
LIGHT
DAGUPAN
9.3
10.1
7.9
6.7
6.6
5
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
APARRI
7
4.1
8.1
8.1
20.2
4.9
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
MODERATE
LIGHT
LAOAG
2
10.5
16.5
12.7
19.7
5.5
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
MODERATE
LIGHT
MODERATE
LIGHT
SUBIC
1.5
0.5
4.2
3.5
4.2
3.3
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
CASIGURAN
9.4
0
0
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
DAET
10
3.5
4.9
5.7
0
3.4
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
LIGHT
LEGASPI
1.5
0
0
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
ROMBLON
0
7.3
1.9
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
NONE
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
MASBATE
0
8.2
1.1
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
NONE
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
SAN JOSE MINDORO
8.5
7.7
7.9
9.9
7.4
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
CALAPAN MINDORO
5.2
13.4
14.4
14.2
9.7
2.1
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
CORON PALAWAN
3.7
5.2
0
2.5
0
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
CUYO ISLAND
3
0.3
0.7
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
PUERTO PRINCESA
11
0
0
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
ILOILO
0
3.5
0
0
0
2.9
DESCRIPTION
NONE
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
NONE
LIGHT
MACTAN
0
0
0
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
SURIGAO
0
0
0
0
0
0
DESCRIPTION
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
NONE
HINATUAN
4.6
2
8.1
7.8
12.5
8.2
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LUMBIA
0
0
5.9
11.9
0
0
DESCRIPTION
NONE
NONE
LIGHT
LIGHT
NONE
NONE
DIPOLOG
0.5
0.1
0.2
1.7
3.1
1.6
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
ZAMBOANGA CITY
4.6
2
8.1
7.8
12.5
8.2
DESCRIPTION
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
LIGHT
METRO MANILA TEMPERATURE FORECAST
24-May
25-May
26-May
27-May
28-May
29-May
Tmin
(°C)
24.9
24.3
24.1
24.1
23.8
23.4
Tmax
(°C)
36.9
35
34
33.5
33.1
34.1
FORECAST/ANALYSIS/DISCUSSIONS
TROPICAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
Dry column of air from east of Visayas and Mindanao slowly approaches the area as enhance tropical moisture continues to buildup across China-Japan spreading over Luzon.
STREAMLINE WIND ANALYSIS
Shows a SW windflow continues to blow over Luzon while easterly to SE'ly wind over Eastern Visayas and Mindanao
OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION
Shows 100-150 W/m^2 over Western visayas and Western Mindanao (as of 200z) indicates a possible tropical convective formations over the area, while dry air (2800-340 W/m^2) is well established over Eastern Visayas and Mindanao. 150-2300 W/m^2 continues over Luzon
OVERALL
For the next 5 days, Enhance tropical convective formations still expected over Luzon, Western Visayas and Western Mindanao as improving weather conditions expected over the eastern part as suppressed area of convection expected based on current OLR and TPW data. No tropical cyclone formations expected within the next 5 days
DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and not as an official tropical cyclone update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data and well-analyzed by the author.
UPDATED ONCE EVERY 5 MINUTES. GLOBAL SATELLITE VIEWS ARE UPDATED ONCE EVERY 3 HRS. CALENDAR DAY HIGHLIGHTED IN ORANGE, WITH FEDERAL HOLIDAY IN GREY/GREEN BOXES. SUN ACTUAL POSITION SEEN WITHIN THE MAP
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