TODAY IS WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

CLICK IMAGERIES TO REDIRECT ON COMPLETE IMAGERIES AND INFORMATIONS (Imageries will be seen after Philippines imagery below)

LOW 90W

IGNACIO/12E

JIMENA/13E

ERIKA/05L

KILO/03C

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

2015 NUMBER OF WESTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES (CLICK TO SEE DATA):SEVENTEEN (17)

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES REALTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

(CLICK IMAGERY TO ANIMATE)

WESTERN PACIFIC THERMAL IR IMAGERY (UPDATED EVERY 10 MINUTES)


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Error: Embedded data could not be displayed.

DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)


REAL TIME 3 HOURS UPDATED SURFACE WIND AND PRESSURE. CLICK EARTH TO CHANGE VIEW. CLICK MAP TO KNOW VALUE/DATA
CREDIT: EARTH.NULLSCHOOL.NET

PHILIPPINE WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINE WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

AUGUST 23, 2015 1PM (NEXT 24HRS)

SYNOPSIS: TROPICAL CYCLONE INENG OVER EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON, SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER LUZON, AND WESTERN VISAYAS

METRO MANILA

Generally overcast with 90% chance of occassional rainshower and/or thunderstorm

WIND FORECAST: WEST to SW at 25-35kph

LUZON

Generally overcast with 76% (minimum 31mm/hr) chance of occassional rain and/or thunderstorms

WIND FORECAST: up to 70kph over Extreme Northern Luzon; up to 45kph over the Rest

VISAYAS

Generally partly cloudy with 28% (minimum 4mm/hr) chance of isolated rain and/or thunderstorm mostly over Western part

WIND FORECAST: SW-SSW up to 35kph

MINDANAO

Generally fair with 27% (minimum 1.4mm/hr) chance of isolated rain and/or thunderstorm

WIND FORECAST: SSE-SSW at 35kph

MODEL FORECAST

GORI: Continues to move North and eventually NNE in response over building NER SE of the system. Some slight intensification is likely by +24hrs due to warm SST, very low shear and improved poleward outflow despite of low OHC over the area.

ATSANI: Recent satellite imagery shows some deep convection re-developing along SE quandratn despite of low OHC. VWS on the other hand remains low and upper level outflow somewhat improved for the past 12hrs. Possible slight intensification for the next +24-48hrs.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION  
AS OF 0000UTC  
GORI
    DATA   HRS   POSSIBLE MAX WINDSPEED (kph)   CATEGORY   POSITION  
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (°C)   29   12   135   CATEGORY 1   25N124E  
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT (kJ/cm^-2)   50   24   171   CATEGORY 2   27N126E  
RELATIVE VORTICITY   300   36   168   CATEGORY 2   30N128E  
VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (kt)   2.5   48   160   CATEGORY 2   33.5N130.5E  
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (kt)   30   60   167   CATEGORY 2   36.5N132E  
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (kt)   15   72   144   CATEGORY 1   39N132.5E  
        96   132   CATEGORY 1   43N132E  
        120   0   NONE   0  
                       
ATSANI
    DATA   HRS   POSSIBLE MAX WINDSPEED (kph)   CATEGORY   POSITION  
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (°C)   28   12   156   CATEGORY 2   31N146..5E  
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT (kJ/cm^-2)   50   24   167   CATEGORY 2   32N148E  
RELATIVE VORTICITY   400   36   176   CATEGORY 2   33.5N150.5E  
VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (kt)   10   48   223   CATEGORY 4   36N155.5E  
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (kt)   20   60   214   CATEGORY 4   39.5N160E  
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (kt)   25   72   176   CATEGORY 2   42N163E  
        96   109   INTENSE STORM   41N164E  
        120   102   STRONG STORM   43N162E  
                       

RAINFALL FORECAST DATA AND PROBABILITY PERCENTAGE (3 DAYS OVER SELECTED CITIES): SEE DATA BELOW

LUZON 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug
BATANES 35.6 5.3 19.1
CALAYAN ISLAND 21.5 4.1 6
ITBAYAT 32.8 1.7 15.5
ALABAT 1 3.1 0
APARRI 20.5 0 7.1
TUGUEGARAO 5.1 8 5.2
LAOAG 60.8 4.9 6.8
BAGUIO 103.9 25.3 20.9
DAGUPAN 113.9 44.2 24.1
CASIGURAN 30.7 6.3 19.9
BALER 11.8 0.2 0.7
CABANATUAN 71.6 29.8 14.1
TAYABAS, QUEZON 71.6 29.8 14.1
SUBIC 57.1 58.2 41.3
METRO MANILA 36.4 26.8 0
SANGLEY POINT 57 14.8 2.8
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 20.6 14.8 7.7
DAET 0 0.1 0
CATANDUANES 0.5 0 0
LEGASPI 2.1 0 0
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 20.8 12 2.7
CALAPAN, MINDORO 16.3 0.4 0
MASBATE 0 0 0
ROMBLON 30 0 0
CUYO ISLAND 4.5 1.1 0
CORON ISLAND 14.5 6.7 1.5
PUERTO PRINCESA 8.6 1.7 0
VISAYAS 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug
CATARMAN, SAMAR 0 0 0
CATBALOGAN 0 0 1.1
TACLOBAN CITY 1 0 0
ROXAS CITY 20.5 0 0
ILOILO 12.2 0 0
DUMAGUETE 0 0 0
CEBU CITY 0 0 0
MACTAN 0 0 0
MINDANAO 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug
MALAYBALAY 3.4 12.5 11.5
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 0 0 0.3
DAVAO 2.5 0 0
DIPOLOG 3.8 0 1.9
COTABATO CITY 0 2.1 0.1
HINATUAN 3 0 0
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 0 0 0
SURIGAO CITY 0 0 0
ZAMBOANGA CITY 0.1 0.1 0
       
LEGEND (in millimeters)
LIGHT <7.5mm
MODERATE <22.5mm
HEAVY <45mm
VERY HEAVY <57.5mm
INTENSE <90mm
TORRENTIAL >90mm
       
RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY
       
LUZON 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug
BATANES 85.00% 65.00% 75.00%
CALAYAN ISLAND 90.00% 55.00% 55.00%
ITBAYAT 90.00% 55.00% 60.00%
ALABAT 60.00% 55.00% 40.00%
APARRI 75.00% 35.00% 55.00%
TUGUEGARAO 60.00% 55.00% 65.00%
LAOAG 95.00% 80.00% 90.00%
BAGUIO 95.00% 90.00% 95.00%
DAGUPAN 90.00% 90.00% 85.00%
CASIGURAN 75.00% 55.00% 60.00%
BALER 80.00% 55.00% 55.00%
CABANATUAN 90.00% 80.00% 75.00%
TAYABAS, QUEZON 90.00% 80.00% 75.00%
SUBIC 85.00% 95.00% 95.00%
METRO MANILA 90.00% 60.00% 40.00%
SANGLEY POINT 80.00% 90.00% 65.00%
AMBULONG, BATANGAS 70.00% 60.00% 55.00%
DAET 35.00% 25.00% 5.00%
CATANDUANES 65.00% 15.00% 15.00%
LEGASPI 55.00% 15.00% 5.00%
SAN JOSE, MINDORO 95.00% 75.00% 45.00%
CALAPAN, MINDORO 65.00% 45.00% 25.00%
MASBATE 40.00% 25.00% 10.00%
ROMBLON 75.00% 20.00% 5.00%
CUYO ISLAND 90.00% 60.00% 15.00%
CORON ISLAND 75.00% 70.00% 40.00%
PUERTO PRINCESA 65.00% 55.00% 25.00%
       
VISAYAS      
CATARMAN, SAMAR 10.00% 5.00% 5.00%
CATBALOGAN 15.00% 5.00% 55.00%
TACLOBAN CITY 45.00% 5.00% 25.00%
ROXAS CITY 55.00% 30.00% 30.00%
ILOILO 60.00% 25.00% 10.00%
DUMAGUETE 10.00% 15.00% 5.00%
CEBU CITY 15.00% 5.00% 10.00%
MACTAN 15.00% 5.00% 10.00%
       
MINDANAO      
MALAYBALAY 55.00% 55.00% 55.00%
BUAYAN, MAGUINDANAO 15.00% 15.00% 55.00%
DAVAO 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
DIPOLOG 55.00% 45.00% 35.00%
COTABATO CITY 35.00% 35.00% 45.00%
HINATUAN 15.00% 5.00% 5.00%
LUMBIA, MISAMIS ORIENTAL 10.00% 20.00% 15.00%
SURIGAO CITY 10.00% 5.00% 15.00%
ZAMBOANGA CITY 40.00% 40.00% 25.00%
       

NOTE: RAIN PERCENTAGE PROBABILITY means a percentage of chance of rain in specific area (also known as Probability of Precipitation). example, Metro manila: 20.00mm moderate at 70%. This means metro manila has a 70% chance of rain and 30% chance of dry with possible amount of 20mm within a period given. However, if this will be the data, Metro manila: 0mm none at 30%. This means although there is 30% chance of rain and 70% chance of dry, the amount of rain is unknown or unsetteled.

BELOW ARE REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERIES, PHILIPPINE DOPPLER RADAR ANIMATION, 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY

REAL TIME FUNKTOP ANIMATION (Highlights intense areas of precipitation)



0.5-2.5mm/hr 2.5-5mm/hr 5-15mm/hr 15-25mm/hr 25-40mm/hr +40mm/hr

REAL TIME VISIBLE ANIMATION (DAY TIME ONLY)




METRO MANILA STATION
BAGUIO STATION
APARRI STATION
SUBIC
TAGAYTAY
BALER STATION
VIRAC STATION
CEBU STATION
HINATUAN STATION
SOUTH COTABATO



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND

10 DAYS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




REALTIME OUTGOING LONG WAVE RADIATIONS

DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2015 All rights reserved)

TWO FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY

DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE AMSU RAINRATE
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
DARK RED-ORANGE: DRY; WHITE-MULTI COLOR: MOIST

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