WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG.

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

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JOSE

Maria

LOW 90W

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGERY (10 MINUTES UPDATE) AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI DAYTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI 30MINUTES WATER VAPOR LOOP IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI HOURLY FUNKTOP LOOP IMAGERY (RAINFALL) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (THUNDERSTORMS COURTESY OF THAILAND METEOROLOGICAL DEPT.) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
BACK TO THERMAL IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)

REAL TIME HOURLY SURFACE WIND AND RAINRATE WITH VALUE

CREDIT: VENTUSKY

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DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

PHILIPPINES WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINES WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

5 DAYS METRO MANILA DATA FORECAST (based on GEFS Ensemble model)    
DATE AND TIME Rainfall (mm)   Temperature (°C)   Windspeed (km/hr)   Direction   MSLP (mb)    
9/12/2017 11:00 11.59   24.9   24.94   N   1003.6    
9/12/2017 14:00 20.23   24.7   6.48   N   1003.1    
9/12/2017 17:00 50.73   25   40.81   SSE   1002    
9/12/2017 20:00 26.09   23.9   44.69   SE   1002.2    
9/12/2017 23:00 6.23   23.9   30.62   SE   1003.4    
9/13/2017 2:00 2.21   23.7   21.11   S   1005.3    
9/13/2017 5:00 3.88   23.4   25.68   SSW   1005.3    
9/13/2017 8:00 2.07   23.3   24.57   S   1005.9    
9/13/2017 11:00 0.97   24.4   26.48   SE   1007.4    
9/13/2017 14:00 0.97   26.7   23.15   SSE   1008.2    
9/13/2017 17:00 0.14   28.2   23.15   SSE   1006.5    
9/13/2017 20:00 1.11   26.3   18.09   SSW   1006.6    
9/13/2017 23:00 2.2   24.4   19.26   SSE   1008.4    
9/14/2017 2:00 0   24.1   16.67   SSE   1009.2    
9/14/2017 5:00 0   24   15.56   SE   1006.9    
9/14/2017 8:00 0   23.7   12.90   ENE   1007.1    
9/14/2017 11:00 0   26.5   13.21   ESE   1008.9    
9/14/2017 14:00 0   30.2   13.33   S   1009.2    
9/14/2017 17:00 4.97   28.8   10.06   SW   1007.8    
9/14/2017 20:00 4.42   26.4   9.07   SSE   1007.3    
9/14/2017 23:00 0.56   24.7   7.10   SSE   1010.1    
9/15/2017 2:00 4.43   24.2   6.36   NNW   1011    
9/15/2017 5:00 0   23.8   7.35   NNE   1009.1    
9/15/2017 8:00 2.24   23.7   8.64   ENE   1008.9    
9/15/2017 11:00 0   26.3   10.43   E   1010.3    
9/15/2017 14:00 0.55   30.6   13.70   SSW   1010    
9/15/2017 17:00 0.59   29.9   15.80   WSW   1007.5    
9/15/2017 20:00 2.24   26.7   18.64   WSW   1007.9    
9/15/2017 23:00 0.07   24.7   15.31   SW   1010.6    
9/16/2017 2:00 0.01   24   13.89   SW   1011.8    
9/16/2017 5:00 0   23.6   13.89   N   1010.1    
9/16/2017 8:00 0   23.1   13.21   NNE   1010.3    
9/16/2017 11:00 0   26.9   10.56   W   1012.6    
9/16/2017 14:00 0   31.2   14.88   WSW   1012    
9/16/2017 17:00 0   31.7   15.80   W   1009.4    
9/16/2017 20:00 0   28.9   14.63   W   1009.3    
9/16/2017 23:00 0   25.7   11.79   WNW   1011.4    
9/17/2017 2:00 0   24.5   10.68   NW   1011.8    
9/17/2017 5:00 0.01   24   11.05   NNW   1009.9    
9/17/2017 8:00 0   23.6   10.00   N   1011.2    
9/17/2017 11:00 0.01   27.7   10.06   NNW   1012.8    
                       
AVERAGE 3.6224   25.76   16.43   SSW   1008.35    
DRIZZLE-LIGHT                    
LIGHT-MODERATE                    
MODERATE-HEAVY                    
HEAVY-VERY HEAVY                    
VERY HEAVY-INTENSE                    
INTENSE-TORRENTIAL                    
                       
ENVIROMENTAL FACTORS    
          DATA       DESCRIPTIONS
850mb VORTICITY(×10-6/s)   150   INTENSE  
AVER. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (in kt)   15   LIGHT  
AVER. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (in kt)   12.5   MODERATE ASCENDING  
AVER. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (in kt)   12.5   LIGHT STABLE
AVER. TROPICAL PREC. WATER (MM)   85   VERY MOIST        
AVER. COLDER THAN -40°C   110   INTENSE
AVER. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)   1004.00   LOW
AVER. WEEKLY SST INDEX ( EASTERN EQUATORAL)   -0.136   NEUTRAL
MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION   0.367   VERY WEAK INDIAN OCEAN
                       

SEPT 12, 2017 12PM (GOOD FOR 12HRS)

SYNOPSIS: TD 21W (#MaringPH) at vicinity of Laguna de bay

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

For Philippines weather, CALABARZON, CENTRAL LUZON, METRO MANILA expected to have stormy weather today while Western Visayas, rest of Luzon and Mindanao expected to have scattered thunderstorm activity. moderate to strong wind expected over stormy weather while light to moderate wind expected over the rest of the country. Coastal waters over Luzon will be dangerous to small type of seacraft while the rest expected to safe.

.

Sea surface temperature over Eastern Equatorial Pacific remains neutral but dropping, as MJO amplitude remains very weak at Western africa.

FORECAST MODELS/TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

As of 0000UTC,
TROPICAL STORM TALIM (#LanniePH) DISCUSSION

TS Talim maintain its intensity for the past 18hrs as it track more on a NW track for the past 3hrs in response over SW extent of STR over NE, however a large ragged eye started to develop with convection wrapping along the West and South area of the said developing eye, might signify that TS Talim intensifying possibly rapidly possibly due to SST that remains high with moderate to high OHC along the track as upper level environment remains conducive along the track[G]. Latest track shows TS Talim spare Northern Taiwan but still expected to pass close on the area, as it expected to now make its initial landfall over Eastern China, however, there is a chance also of recurvable scenario depending on how sharp it may in the coming days.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTYONE-W (PAGASA: #MaringPH, JMA: TD b)

Developed at 1500UTC and did made landfall at 9am Phil time (0100UTC) along Mauban, Northern Quezon as entry point, now crossing Northern Laguna, then Laguna de Bay, Rizal, Metromanila, Southern Bulacan and Southern Pampanga the whole day, Southern Zambales-Bataan area by night and expected to be the exit point. Strong low level inflow produces multiple deep convection that cause massive rainfall late night til morning over Calabarzon, including Metro manila (see image). While over West Philippines sea/South China sea, favouarble environment expected to fuel further intensification as it tracks more WNW-NW towards either Hainan, China or Vietnam.

PAGASA TCWS no.1[G]: Metro Manila, Cavite, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Northern Quezon incl. Polillo Island, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Quirino, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union, Tarlac, Zambales, Bataan, Pangasinan, Laguna, Quirino, Pangasinan and Southern Aurora.
[A] 1 min average
[B] GFS, ECMWF, CMC, NAVGEM, HKO, JMA MODELS
[C] JMA 65kt and gust of 95kt
[D] JMA 30kt and gust of 45kt
[E] JMA position
[F] as of 11am bulletin
[G] might undergoing some RI

GFS - YES (97W)
CMC - YES (97W)
NAVGEM - YES (97W)
ECMWF - YES (97W)
JMA - YES (97W)
HKO (72HRS) - YES (97W)
RJTD (48HRS) - YES (97W)
NOGAPS - YES (97W)
NCMRWF - YES (97W)
ICON - YES (97W)
BOM - YES (97W)
BRA - YES (97W)

BELOW ARE 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



METRO MANILA HIMAWARI THERMAL IR IMAGERY

NEW PAGASA RADAR SITE (CLICK HERE) http://meteopilipinas.gov.ph/map.php




10MIN CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (FOR THUNDERSTORM CLOUD)

ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

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72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

192HRS

204HRS

216HRS

228HRS

240HRS

PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND


SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND SURFACE WIND

7 DAYS GFS WIND FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

7 DAYS GFS WAVE HEIGHT FORECAST


12HRS

24HRS

36HRS

48HRS

60HRS

72HRS

84HRS

96HRS

108HRS

120HRS

132HRS

144HRS

156HRS

168HRS

180HRS

RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2016 All rights reserved)

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REAL TIME WEATHER NEAR MY PLACE



AYALA ALABANG

TWO FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY


DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE

AMSU RAINRATE

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

HIMAWARI WESTERN PACIFIC IR TEMPERATURE IMAGERY

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