WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG. As of 11PM Feb 19, 2018 EASTERLIES OVBR THE COUNTRY

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

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LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGERY (10 MINUTES UPDATE) AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
WESTERN PACIFIC HIMAWARI DAYTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI 30MINUTES WATER VAPOR LOOP IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI HOURLY FUNKTOP LOOP IMAGERY (RAINFALL) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
HIMAWARI CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (THUNDERSTORMS COURTESY OF THAILAND METEOROLOGICAL DEPT.) (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)
BACK TO THERMAL IMAGERY (CLICK LINK TO VIEW)

REAL TIME HOURLY SURFACE WIND AND RAINRATE WITH VALUE

CREDIT: VENTUSKY

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DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

PHILIPPINES WEATHER FORECAST

PHILIPPINES WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST

5 DAYS METRO MANILA DATA FORECAST (based on GEFS Ensemble model)    
DATE AND TIME Rainfall (mm)   Temperature (°C)   Windspeed (km/hr)   Direction   MSLP (mb)    
2/12/2017 14:00 1.08   28.5   38.83   ENE   1012.8    
2/12/2017 17:00 0   25.8   42.35   ENE   1013.1    
2/12/2017 20:00 0.01   23.8   44.88   ENE   1015.4    
2/12/2017 23:00 0   23.5   47.16   ENE   1015.8    
2/13/2017 2:00 0   22.9   47.41   ENE   1015    
2/13/2017 5:00 0   22.7   47.53   ENE   1014.9    
2/13/2017 8:00 0   24.3   49.76   ENE   1016.1    
2/13/2017 11:00 0   27.4   48.52   ENE   1016    
2/13/2017 14:00 0   26.8   47.91   ENE   1014.1    
2/13/2017 17:00 0   24.1   48.89   ENE   1014.4    
2/13/2017 20:00 0   23.1   50.07   ENE   1015.9    
2/13/2017 23:00 0   22.9   50.37   ENE   1015.6    
2/14/2017 2:00 0   22.6   49.26   ENE   1014.1    
2/14/2017 5:00 0   22.6   47.23   ENE   1013.2    
2/14/2017 8:00 0   23.8   47.78   ENE   1015.2    
2/14/2017 11:00 0   24.9   45.44   ENE   1015.2    
2/14/2017 14:00 1.12   24.2   42.60   ENE   1012.6    
2/14/2017 17:00 0   23.8   41.11   ENE   1012.4    
2/14/2017 20:00 0   23.3   37.84   ENE   1014.8    
2/14/2017 23:00 0   23   36.18   ENE   1014.9    
2/15/2017 2:00 0   22.8   31.18   ENE   1013.3    
2/15/2017 5:00 0   22.5   27.72   NE   1013.1    
2/15/2017 8:00 0   25.3   27.84   ENE   1015.3    
2/15/2017 11:00 0.61   30.4   25.25   E   1015.1    
2/15/2017 14:00 3.86   30.9   21.73   ESE   1012    
2/15/2017 17:00 1.12   28.9   20.00   ESE   1011.8    
2/15/2017 20:00 0.03   23.7   20.37   E   1014.5    
2/15/2017 23:00 0   22.7   16.05   E   1015.3    
2/16/2017 2:00 0   22.3   14.69   E   1013.2    
2/16/2017 5:00 0   22.1   16.54   E   1012.7    
2/16/2017 8:00 0   25.5   20.13   E   1014.4    
2/16/2017 11:00 0   31.4   17.41   SE   1013.8    
2/16/2017 14:00 0   33.4   12.16   S   1011.1    
2/16/2017 17:00 0   30.8   9.07   SSE   1011    
2/16/2017 20:00 0   25.4   6.11   SE   1013.1    
2/16/2017 23:00 0.45   23.9   3.27   E   1013.5    
2/17/2017 2:00 0.03   23   7.47   NE   1012.2    
2/17/2017 5:00 0   22.2   10.37   NE   1012.1    
2/17/2017 8:00 0   25.4   12.16   ENE   1013.8    
2/17/2017 11:00 0   32.1   12.90   E   1013.4    
2/17/2017 14:00 0   33.9   13.64   ESE   1010.7    
                       
AVERAGE 0.2027   25.43   30.66   E   1013.83    
DRIZZLE-LIGHT                    
LIGHT-MODERATE                    
MODERATE-HEAVY                    
HEAVY-VERY HEAVY                    
VERY HEAVY-INTENSE                    
INTENSE-TORRENTIAL                    
                       
ENVIROMENTAL FACTORS    
          DATA       DESCRIPTIONS
850mb VORTICITY(×10-6/s)   25   MODERATE  
AVER. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (in kt)   35   STRONG  
AVER. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (in kt)   10   MODERATE ASCENDING  
AVER. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (in kt)   10   LIGHT STABLE
AVER. TROPICAL PREC. WATER (MM)   55   MOIST        
AVER. COLDER THAN -40°C   40   NON-DEEP
AVER. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)   1016.00   HIGH
AVER. WEEKLY SST INDEX ( EASTERN EQUATORAL)   -0.48   NEUTRAL
MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION   3.148   INTENSE WESTERN PACIFIC
                       

FEBRUARY 12, 2017 0600PM (GOOD FOR 12HRS)

SYNOPSIS: RESURGENCE OF NE WINDFLOW OVER LUZON, APPROACHING TS #BasyangPH OVER VISAYAS AND MINDANAO

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

A. FORECAST

LUZON: Cordillera region, Cagayan Valley, Ilocos region, Eastern Luzon and Bicol region expected to be generally cloudy with 100% chance of rainshower, while the rest of Luzon expected to be partly cloudy with 50-75% chance of rainshower. 35-57km/hr NE wind over Northern, Eastern Luzon and Bicol region becoming 18-37km/hr NE-NNE over the rest, coastal waters will be moderate-rough over Northern, Eastern Luzon and Bicol region and dangerous to small type of seacraft, while elsewhere over Luzon will be moderate and safe to all type of seacraft.

VISAYAS: Deteriorating weather expected over Eastern and Central Visayas while possible 100% chance of scattered to occassional rainshower and/or thunderstorms over the rest part. 25-37km/hr NW over Eastern and Central Visayas while 15-28km/hr over the rest from NW, coastal waters will be moderate but dangerous to small type of seacraft over Eastern and Central portion due to approaching TS Sanba while it is safe elsewhere over Visayas except during thunderstorms.

MINDANAO: CARAGA, DAVAO and Eastern and Northern Mindanao expected to have deteriorating weather condition as TS Samba approaches, while 100% chance of scattered to occassional rainshower and/or thunderstorms over the rest. Coastal waters will be dangerous to small and medium type of seacraft over Eastern and Northern Mindanao due to approaching TS Samba.

Sea surface temperature over Eastern Equatorial Pacific continues warmth (-0.48 celsius) compared from previous week, as MJO amplitude remains very active while over Western Pacific at Intense intensity.

FORECAST MODELS/TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

As of 0600UTC,
Tropical storm Sanba (#BasyangPH) maintained its intensity the whole day while continues flaring of convection with no wrapping into LLC was seen for most of the day. TS Sanba currently under the steering influence of building STR over North causing the system moves on a Westerly track. It is expected to slightly intensify within 12hrs or prior landfall due to Strong poleward outflow which provides ample ventilation to the said convection despite of low OHC and decreasing SST near Mindanao, VWS on the otherhand remains moderate at 15-20kt along the track. It is expected to make landfall near Either areas of Bislig and Hinatuan, Surigao del sur by [between 0500AM-0800AM(subject to change depending on speed)] then cross Agusan del sur and Misamis oriental the whole day.

TCWS#2: Dinagat Island, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and northern section of Bukidnon

TCWS#1: Cuyo Island, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Bohol, Cebu, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Biliran, southern portion of Samar, southern portion of Eastern Samar, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, rest of Bukidnon, North Cotabato, Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, and Davao Oriental

BELOW ARE 10 DAY FORECAST AND SELECTED PHILIPPINE CITIES 3 DAY RAINFALL FORECAST



METRO MANILA HIMAWARI THERMAL IR IMAGERY

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10MIN CLOUDTOP IMAGERY (FOR THUNDERSTORM CLOUD)

ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY



10 DAYS RAINFALL FORECAST


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PHILIPPINE CHART AND REALTIME WIND


SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AND SURFACE WIND

7 DAYS GFS WIND FORECAST


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7 DAYS GFS WAVE HEIGHT FORECAST


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RELATIVE VORTICITY (UPDATED EVERY 3 HOURS)

Vorticity is a measure of curvature in atmospheric flow. A positive value indicates counter clockwise motion in the northern hemisphere and lockwise motion in the southern hemisphere. A positive vorticity environment is conducive to storm development.


WESTERN PACIFIC ANIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER




DISCLAIMER: These are based on forecast models and realtime charts and imageries and not as an official update. Please don't use this as an official forecast unless official agencies issued warnings or updates. All informations and updates are supported by different data gathered from different agencies which well-analyzed by the author. All imageries are real time and only forecast is subject to changes by author.

CREDITS: weather-forecast.com, Naval Research Laboratory, NOAA, WEATHER ONLINE, PAGASA-DOST, CNN WEATHER, CIMSS

Layout and Discussions Prepared by: Jermaine Christopher Gaines (© 2016 All rights reserved)

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TWO FRAME RAINRATE IMAGERY


DMSP SSM/IS RAINRATE

AMSU RAINRATE

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN WESTERN PACIFIC CENTRALPACIFIC
SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC
EASTERN PACIFIC NORTH ATLANTIC
VORTICITY Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)MSLP (hPa)

HIMAWARI WESTERN PACIFIC IR TEMPERATURE IMAGERY

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