TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY
72-120HR FORECAST TRACK
PRESSURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
VORTICITY AND VAPOR IMAGERY
WIND
OCT 29-31 ECMWF FORECAST FOR NEW DISTURBANCE
TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)
CATEGORY 1
LOCATION: 18.80N, 124.56E (255KM E CALAYAN GROUP)
MSLP: 963MB
WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW 5KT/9KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -61.07C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-58.34C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 80-85KT/148-157KPH
DVORAK
MSLP : 969.2MB VMAX: 75KT/139KPH
DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 957.1MB VMAX: 87KT/161KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 954MB VMAX: 98KT/181KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 957MB VMAX: 88KT/163KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 160-195KPH
NOTE:
Lupit expected to moves more poleward after 72 hours as the said ridge likely to break and thus allow poleward channel to developed over to the NE quandrant of Lupit. This is the reason why Lupit slowly moving and eventually remain stationary for the next 24-48hrs.
Another tropical cyclone likely to develop from oct 29-31 based on ECMWF model.
JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK
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