HIGH SHEAR TOAR DEEP CONVECTIONS, OVERCAST SKIES MORE LIKELY

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 11A[2:30UTC] MAY 28, 2009)
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WIND ANALYSIS

VORTICES

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR


RAINRATE

RAIN ANALYSIS

CONVECTION/CLOUDTOP

NO TROPICAL CYCLONE PRESENT AS OF THE MOMENT

FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN LUZON, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDFLOW OVER LUZON AND WESTERN VISAYAS, WEAK MONSOON TROUGH OVER MINDANAO

High vertical windshear (high of 50kt) over South China sea inhibit some formation of deep convection along the area resulted to more overcast skies as evident of many cirrus clouds over the area. The said shear will remain high over the next 2-3days afterward expected to relax as broad low shear over SW China expected to move more Eastward that will lead to more deep convection along South China sea.

COVERED (MAY 26-27 18:00UTC) 1 DAY
38.00 mm ILIGAN/MINDANAO ISL 8.15 124.22
56.00 mm BALER/LUZON ISLAND 15.77 121.57
57.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08
60.00 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97

COVERED (MAY 25-27 18:00UTC) 3 DAYS
no 100mm above rainfall

COVERED (MAY 21-27 18:00UTC) 7 DAYS
no 200mm above rainfall