TC PAT RAPIDLY WEAKENING; 15P RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING

LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

FEB 11 2010 1P PHIL TIME

PAT

15P

TROPICAL CYCLONE PAT (14P)

INTENSE STORM STAGE (LEVEL 7/15)

CURRENT INTENSITY: MAX: 62kt GUST: 77kt (115-143kph)
CURRENT PRESSURE: 974MB
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 91KT (169KPH) MSLP: 970.6MB
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT): 61KT (113KPH) MSLP: 991.0MB
CENTRAL REGION TEMP: +18.54C (SHEARED)
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP: +7.74C (+15MM/HR)
FORECAST 12HRS: 50KT/93KPH/LEVEL 6

NOTE: It is currently undergoing rapid weakening.


TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P

MINIMAL STORM STAGE (LEVEL 4/15)

CURRENT INTENSITY: MAX: 40kt GUST: 50kt (74-93kph)
CURRENT PRESSURE: 993MB
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 42KT (78KPH) MSLP: 1000.1MB
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT): 41KT (76KPH) MSLP: 1002.0MB
CENTRAL REGION TEMP: -78.06C (CENTER)
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP: -71.68C (+50MM/HR)
FORECAST 12HRS: 55KT/102KPH/LEVEL 6

NOTE: 15P undergoing rapid intensification within the next 12-24hrs.



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