TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA (PEPENG/19W) RARELY HITTING LAND FOR THE 3RD TIME IN THE SAME PLACE

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 10A OCTOBER 08, 2009)

IMAGERY OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA (PEPENG/19W)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PARMA (PEPENG/19W)

STRONG STAGE
LOCATION: 17.82N, 122.31E (10KM EAST COAST CAGAYAN)
MSLP: 1000MB
WINDSPEED: 30-40KT (56-74KPH)
MOVEMENT: ALMOST STATIONARY
RAINRATE: +20-30MM/HR
EYE TEMP: +2C AT 11.5KM HIGH 100KM RADIUS
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): +13.63C (CENTER)
CONVECTION: MODERATE-HEAVY (-39.25C)
NEXT 12HRS: 30KT/56KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 996.7MB VMAX: 38KT/70KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES (BASED ON DVORAK):
(JTWC): MSLP : 992.9MB VMAX: 45KT/83KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 999.1MB VMAX: 35KT/65KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 997.7MB VMAX: 37KT/69KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): MSLP : 997.2MB VMAX: 35KT/65KPH
(PAGASA): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 55-70KPH


TYPHOON MELOR (QUEDAN/20W)

CATEGORY 1
LOCATION: 35.90N, 138.53E (LANDFALL JAPAN)
MSLP: 974MB
WINDSPEED: 65-80KT (120-148KPH)
MOVEMENT: NE 29KT/54KPH
RAINRATE: +5-10MM/HR
EYE TEMP: +7C AT 11.5M HIGH 50KM RADIUS
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -N/AC (LAND)
CONVECTION: LIGHT (-N/AC)
NEXT 12HRS: 50KT/93KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 979.3MB VMAX: 64KT/119KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): MSLP : 979.3MB VMAX: 64KT/119KPH
(PAGASA): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KPH


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92W (LOW PRESSURE AREA)

SEVERE ALERT
LOCATION: 14.2N, 143.6E (220KM W MARIANAS IS [860KM E PAR])
MSLP: 1004MB
WINDSPEED: 15KT (28KPH)
MOVEMENT: NW SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
EYE TEMP: +0.5C AT 12KM HIGH 400KM RADIUS
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -0C (N/A)
CONVECTION: LIGHT (-0C)
NEXT 12HRS: 20KT/37KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 1005.2MB VMAX: 23KT/43KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1005.2MB VMAX: 23KT/43KPH
(PAGASA): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KPH

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 91W (LOW PRESSURE AREA)

ALERT STAGE
LOCATION: 9.2N, 162.67E (MICRONESIA ISLANDS)
MSLP: 1006MB
WINDSPEED: 15KT (28KPH)
MOVEMENT: NNW SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
EYE TEMP: +0C AT 0KM HIGH 0KM RADIUS
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -0C (N/A)
CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-0C)
NEXT 12HRS: 20KT/37KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: N/AKT/N/AKPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 1006.5MB VMAX: 19KT/35KPH
(PAGASA): MSLP : 0MB VMAX: 0KPH

NOTE:

Tropical depression parma (pepeng/19w) rarely expected to hit land for the 3rd time almost the same place. This is the 1st recorded incident to happens that a single tropical cyclone hit land 3 times at the same place.

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