TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWED DOWN BEGINNING ITS POLEWARD MOVEMENT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 230P OCTOBER 22, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

72-120HR FORECAST TRACK

PRESSURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
VORTICITY AND VAPOR IMAGERY

WIND

OCT 29-31 ECMWF FORECAST FOR NEW DISTURBANCE

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 1

LOCATION: 18.80N, 124.56E (255KM E CALAYAN GROUP)
MSLP: 963MB
WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW 5KT/9KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -61.07C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-58.34C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 80-85KT/148-157KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 969.2MB VMAX: 75KT/139KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 957.1MB VMAX: 87KT/161KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 954MB VMAX: 98KT/181KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 957MB VMAX: 88KT/163KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 160-195KPH

NOTE:

Lupit expected to moves more poleward after 72 hours as the said ridge likely to break and thus allow poleward channel to developed over to the NE quandrant of Lupit. This is the reason why Lupit slowly moving and eventually remain stationary for the next 24-48hrs.

Another tropical cyclone likely to develop from oct 29-31 based on ECMWF model.

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK