KUJIRA/DANTE NEARS CATEGORY1, CHAN-HOM/EMONG WILL FOLLOW THREATHENS WESTERN LUZON

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(AS OF 3P[06:30UTC] APRIL 30, 2009)

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SEVERE STORM 01W/DANTE/KUJIRA
POSITION: 15.7N, 127.1E
WINDSPEED: 60-75KT/111-139KPH
SLP: 985.3MB
MOVEMENT: ENE 11KT/20KPH.
EYE TEMP: +2.0C
POTENTIAL WITHIN 24HRS: CATEGORY 1(75-85KT).

MINIMAL STORM 02W/EMONG/CHAN-HOM (REMNANT OF CRISING)
POSITION: 10.6N, 112.3E
WINDSPEED: 40-50KT/74-92KPH
SLP: 998.9MB
MOVEMENT: NNE SLOWLY.
EYE TEMP: +1.0C
POTENTIAL FOR 24HRS: SEVERE STORM (50-60KT).

MINIMAL DEPRESSION 93W/95W
POSITION: 18.0N,139.0E
WINDSPEED:25-35KT/46-65KPH
SLP:1006.0MB
MOVEMENT:NW SLOWLY.
EYE TEMP: +0.5C
POTENTIAL FOR 24HRS: WEAKENING TO 20KT

RAINRATE:6-7mm/hr

SYNOPSIS: WEAK SW WINDFLOW AND MONSOON TROUGH.

01W accelerated more to ENE in response over frontal trough embedded along the area. 01W intensify for the past 6hrs as excellent pole ward outflow despite of weak upper divergence continues to aid its intensification. warm SST and good OHC fuels its convection remain at Level 7 over the area. Next 24hrs, 01W will be categorized as Category 1 with winds reaching to 75-85kts.

Meanwhile 02W intensified also for the past 6hrs as its convection level high to 7 almost 100km radius for the past 6hrs due to very warm SSTover the area. Upper divergence though weakas of the moment at 10kts, excellent equatorial outflow and improving pole ward outflow continues to aid its intensification. It is likely to reach 55-65kt within 24hrs but likely to move more ENE as it is expected tobe influence by 01W which act as primary steering influence.

95/97w meanwhile likely to weakens within 24hrs.

AREAS MOSTLY PRECIPITATED BASED ON 3BR2RT TRMM IN THE PHILIPPINES

1 DAY
40.00 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03
41.00 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62
60.00 mm SAN FRANCISCO 13.37 122.52
62.00 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
65.00 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63
154.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
164.00 mm NAGA/LUZON ISLAND 13.58 123.27
164.00 mm PILI 13.57 123.27
181.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23
200.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73

3 DAYS
106.00 mm MARINDUQUE ISLAND 13.37 121.83
150.00 mm ROMBLON/TABLAS ISL 12.58 122.27
255.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
255.00 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
255.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73
255.00 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62
255.00 mm NAGA/LUZON ISLAND 13.58 123.27
255.00 mm PILI 13.57 123.27
255.00 mm SAN FRANCISCO 13.37 122.52
255.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23

7 DAYS

****** mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23
205.08 mm CALBAYOG/SAMAR ISL 12.07 124.55
209.96 mm CALAPAN/MINDORO ISL 13.42 121.18
214.84 mm TAYABAS 14.03 121.58
268.55 mm ROMBLON/TABLAS ISL 12.58 122.27
273.44 mm ALABAT ISLAND 14.08 122.02
273.44 mm MARINDUQUE ISLAND 13.37 121.83
541.99 mm SAN FRANCISCO 13.37 122.52
585.94 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
615.23 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62
620.12 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
869.14 mm NAGA/LUZON ISLAND 13.58 123.27
869.14 mm PILI 13.57 123.27
947.27 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73