97W, MODERATE SHEAR AND HIGH PRESSURE INHIBIT SOUTHWEST MONSOON, 98W THREATENS TO DEVELOP

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 4P[6:30UTC] JUNE 10, 2009)
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96W, 97W, 98W INVEST CHART

WIND ANALYSIS

VORTICES

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR

RAIN RATE

PRESSURE

97W CONVECTION

CONVECTION

CLOSE UP WIND ANALYSIS

98W CONVECTION

AS OF 4P

WARNING 96W

LOCATION: 11.0N, 133.6E
WINDSPEED: 10KT/19KPH
SLP: 1012.0MB
MOVEMENT: WNW AT 7KT/13KPH
VORTICES: WEAK
EYE TEMP: 0.5C
SHEAR: 7.5KT
UPPER DIVERGENCE: NONE
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: DISSIPATING

WARNING 97W

LOCATION: 12.7N, 112.3E
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT/28-37KPH
SLP: 1008.1MB
MOVEMENT: WNW SLOWLY
VORTICES: FAIR
EYE TEMP: 0.5C
SHEAR: 37.5KT
UPPER DIVERGENCE: GOOD AT 20KT
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: ORGANIZING

WARNING 98W

LOCATION: 4.9N, 139.2E
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT/28-37KPH
SLP: 1005.9MB
MOVEMENT: WNW AT SLOWLY
VORTICES: FAIR
EYE TEMP: 0.5C
SHEAR: 7.5KT
UPPER DIVERGENCE: WEAK AT 7.5KT
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: ORGANIZING

Moonsoon rain won't be likely within the next 24-48hrs (2days) as 97W and high pressure area continue to dominate with moderate windshear. However, after 48hrs, shortwave trough over China expected to weakens the said ridge with possible relaxation of shear over South china sea, will allow once more the slow re-intensification of Southwest monsoon and perhaps become more stronger if 98W move closer to Philippines within 72-96hrs (3-5days).



COVERED (JUNE 8-9 21:00UTC) 1 DAY
46.00 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
46.00 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
47.00 mm ILIGAN/MINDANAO ISL 8.15 124.22
52.00 mm CAGAYAN DE ORO 8.48 124.63
58.00 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
79.00 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53
85.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08

COVERED (JUNE 7-9 21:00UTC) 3 DAYS
108.00 mm PUERTO PRINCESA AFB 9.75 118.73
141.00 mm SAN JOSE/MINDORO IL 12.35 121.03

COVERED (JUNE 3-9 21:00UTC) 7 DAYS
209.96 mm BAGUIO/LUZON ISLAND 16.42 120.60
214.84 mm MANILA/LUZON ISLAND 14.58 120.98
214.84 mm NINOY AQUINO INTL 14.52 121.00
214.84 mm SANGLEY POINT AB 14.50 120.92
249.02 mm SANTO-TOMAS MTN 16.33 120.57
283.20 mm CORON/CALAMIAN GRP 12.00 120.20
307.62 mm MAMBURAO/MINDORO IL 13.22 120.60
322.27 mm OLONGAPO 14.80 120.27
332.03 mm SAN JOSE/MINDORO IL 12.35 121.03