NOT MUCH RAINFALL EXTENDED AS SUPPRESSED CONVECTION CONTINUES

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 9A[00:30UTC] JULY 02, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

WIND
light over most of the country

VORTICES
low over southern Luzon

UPPER DIVERGENCE
negative over Mindanao and Visayas at -10kt

SHEAR
low shear over Southern Luzon at 5kt

RAINRATE
below 10mm/hr over SW Mindanao

RAIN ANALYSIS
Rain will be more visible but light over Southern Mindanao

PRESSURE
1014 high over Open Pacific with 1009mb weak Low over Caroline is.

CONVECTION/CLOUDTOP
not much deep convection forming over most of the country


NO TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

Again, less rain expected for most of the country within the next 24 hours as suppressed convection associated with the absence of MJO over the area. Weak convection continues to develop mainly due to weak monsoon trough over Visayas and Mindanao. High over Open pacific continues to bring dry and hot weather for most of Western Pacific.

COVERED (JUNE 30-JULY 1 18:00UTC) 1 DAY
36.00 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
45.00 mm BAGUIO/LUZON ISLAND 16.42 120.60
66.00 mm MAMBURAO/MINDORO IL 13.22 120.60
68.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97

COVERED (JUNE 29-JULY 1 18:00UTC) 3 DAYS
109.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97

COVERED (JUNE 25-JULY 1 18:00UTC) 7 DAYS
NO 200MM ABOVE RAINFALL