19W/#Pepito 10192020-0100PM Severe Weather Bulletin

⚠ BULLETIN October 19, 2020 0100PM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CODE/INTERNATIONAL NAME: 19W LOCAL NAME: #PepitoPH STAGE: WEAK DEPRESSION COORDINATES: 14.22°N, 128.57°E LOCATION: 468km East-Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes DIFFERENT AGENCIES INTENSITY US (1min aver.): 46km/hr; GUST: 65km/hr JMA (10 min aver.): 56km/hr; GUST: 83km/hr PAGASA (10min aver.): 45km/hr; GUST: 55km/hr NMC: 54km/hr CWB: 54km/hr; GUST: 83km/hr MEAN WINDSPEED: 57.1km/hr MSLP: 1004mb Track: West-Northwest at 20km/hr SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS: 40.7km/hr (1005.7mb) RAINRATE: ≥55mm/hr AUTOMATED DVORAK: 48.2km/hr (1006.8mb) CLOUD TEMPERATURE: -45.82°C EYE/CENTER TEMPERATURE: 1.70°C SCENE TYPE: Curved band with 0.38 arc in md gray maximum curved band with 0.44 arc in md gray at 14:36:35N, 129:33:35E SEA SURFACE TEMP.: ≥31°C OCEAN HEAT CONTENT: Extreme, influx RELATIVE VORTICITY: moderate-high (steady) VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (average): 10kt/18.5km/hr (light, decreasing) STEERING WIND: Subtropical ridge positioned to the Northeast Tropical depression 19w (#PepitoPH) continues to organize as animated multispectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts spiral bands of convection wrapping into an obscured low level circulation center (llcc). The system currently tracking along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge positioned to the northeast. Favourable environment expected to continue supporting further intensification as low very warm SST, low vertical windshear and robust poleward with fair equatorward outflow aloft present. For the next 24hrs (October 20, 1200pm), TD 19W will continue to track generally west-northwestward along the periphery of the steering ridge position over NE and expected to intensify possibly into 85-95km/hr maximum windspeed while it approaches Northern and Central Luzon. BASED ON 11AM PAGASA BULLETIN The eastern portion of Isabela (Palanan,Dinapigue,the eastern portion of San Mariano) and the northern portion of Aurora (Dinalungan,Casiguran,Dilasag) For realtime imagery visit the following link below: Philippines Doppler radar: https://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2012/08/philippines-doppler-radar-noah.html 19W/#PepitoPH realtime imagery link: https://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2020/10/Tropical-Cyclone-19W.html Kindly visit, subscribe and share this youtube channel to keep updated for latest weather bulletin, advisory and forecast. Just click the link below https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCfvT2t7-KClwjJZXrIV0AYg/