TC CONSON NEARS SOUTHERN QUEZON; DIRECT IT OVER MMLA EXPECTED

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE CONSON (BASYANG) JULY 13 2010 00845P (1245UTC)

CATEGORY	VALUE
STAGE	6
DESCRIPTION	TYPHOON 1
MAXIMUM WIND (kt)	65	GUSTINESS	80
(kph)	120	GUSTINESS	148
CURRENT SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)	974
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS (kt)	66	MSLP (mb)	992.0
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT) (kt)	65.0	MSLP (mb)	979.0
CENTRAL REGION TEMP:	-52.9°C	DESCRIPTION	IRREGULAR CDO
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP:	-47.3°C	RAINRATE (IN mm/hr)	+35
FORECAST (NEXT 12HRS)	65kt	STAGE:	6

POSITION: 105km E of Mmla/NORTHERN COAST OF CAMARINES PROV. (EXPECTED TO HIT LAND AT 11-1a OVER SOUTHERN QUEZON; 2-3A OVER MMLA;BATAAN-SOUTHERN ZAMBALES 4-6A )

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TC CONSON THREATHENS NORTHERN QUEZON, MMLA LIKELY TO BE DIRECT HIT

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE CONSON (BASYANG) JULY 13 2010 0245P (0645UTC)

CATEGORY	VALUE
STAGE	7
DESCRIPTION	TYPHOON 1
MAXIMUM WIND (kt)	70	GUSTINESS	85
(kph)	130	GUSTINESS	157
CURRENT SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)	970
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS (kt)	64	MSLP (mb)	994.6
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT) (kt)	72.2	MSLP (mb)	973.0
CENTRAL REGION TEMP:	-75.3°C	DESCRIPTION	IRREGULAR CDO
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP:	-72.1°C	RAINRATE (IN mm/hr)	+35
FORECAST (NEXT 12HRS)	75kt	STAGE:	8

POSITION: 190km E of Mmla/40km Northern Coast of Camarines Sur

POSSIBLE DIRECT HIT AND ESTIMATE STRENGTH: 

5-6P NORTHERN COAST OF CAMARINES NORTE 120-130KPH MAX WIND

8-10P INFANTA QUEZON 120-130KPH MAX

11P-1A RIZAL: 95-105KPH MAX

2A-3A NORTHERN MMLA-BULACAN AREA: 85-95KPH MAX

4-6A SOUTHERN PAMPANGA: 85KPH MAX

7-9A ZAMBALES: 85KPH MAX

10-11A EXITED TO SOUTH CHINA SEA: 75-85KPH MAX

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK