97W INVEST STRUGGLE, LESS RAINFALL EXPECTED WITHIN 3 DAYS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 10A[01:30UTC] JUNE 29, 2009)
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VORTICES

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR
RAINRATE

PRESSURE

97W CONVECTION

97W WIND

95W WIND

95W CONVECTION


AS OF 10A

WARNING 97W INVEST

LOCATION: 7.3N, 132.1E (APPROXIMATELY 495KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHERN MINDANAO;
WINDSPEED: 10-15KT/19-28KPH;
SLP: 1009.5MB;
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY;
VORTICES: LOW;
EYE TEMP: 0.0C;
SHEAR: 7.5KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: GOOD AT 20KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: WARNING (10-15KT) AT APPROXIMATELY 300KM EAST OF MINDANAO

WARNING 95W INVEST

LOCATION: 29.2N, 162.9E (OPEN PACIFIC);
WINDSPEED: 10-15KT/19-28KPH;
SLP: 1011.7MB;
MOVEMENT: NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY;
VORTICES: MODERATE;
EYE TEMP: 2.0C; SHEAR: 35KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: NEGATIVE;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: EXTRATROPICAL LOW

97W Invest expected to remain as warning despite of good upper divergence and fair OHC and warm SST as weak pole ward and equatorial outflow and insufficient TPW evolve over the area. Meanwhile, 95W Invest expected to become an weak extra tropical cyclone as strong shear surrounds the area inhibits formation of deep convection.


COVERED (JUNE 27-28 18:00UTC) 1 DAY
40.00 mm ILIGAN/MINDANAO ISL 8.15 124.22
48.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08

COVERED (JUNE 26-28 18:00UTC) 3 DAYS
NO 100MM ABOVE RAINFALL

COVERED (JUNE 22-28 18:00UTC) 7 DAYS
200.20 mm KALIBO/PANAY ISLAND 11.68 122.38
205.08 mm MAASIN/LEYTE ISLAND 10.13 124.83
205.08 mm ROXAS/PANAY ISLAND 11.58 122.75
209.96 mm ROMBLON/TABLAS ISL 12.58 122.27
209.96 mm TACLOBAN/LEYTE ISL 11.25 125.00
268.55 mm MAMBURAO/MINDORO IL 13.22 120.60
278.32 mm SAN JOSE/MINDORO IL 12.35 121.03