93W INVEST (MINIMAL STORM JOLINA OVER PAGASA) INTENSIFYING, STRONGER MONSOON RAIN EXPECTED WITHIN 3-5DAYS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 330P[06:30UTC] JULY 31, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

93W/JOLINA WIND

WIND

VORTICES

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR

RAINRATE

PRESSURE

93W/JOLINA CONVECTION

850 HPA CIRCULATION



7-31-09 3P

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SEVERE ALERT 93W INVEST (PAGASA: MINIMAL STORM JOLINA)

LOCATION: 15.1N, 131.9E (990KM E LUZON)
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT (37-46KPH [PAGASA: 65-80KPH])
SLP: 1000.5MB
MOVEMENT: WNW 7KT/13KPH
NEXT 12HRS: MINIMAL DEPRESSION 30-35KT/55-64KPH 15.6N, 129.1E (760KM E OF LUZON)


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SEVERE ALERT 95W INVEST

LOCATION: 15.5N, 149.2E (SW OF GUAM)
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT (37-46KPH)
SLP: 1007.1MB
MOVEMENT: WNW 5KT/9KPH
NEXT 12HRS: MINIMAL DEPRESSION 25-30KT/46-55KPH


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WARNING 96W INVEST

LOCATION: 25.1N, 150.7E (OPEN PACIFIC)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1010.0MB
MOVEMENT: STATIONARY
NEXT 12HRS: 15-20KT/28-37KPH

Moderate to heavy with very heavy rains at times expected starting tomorrow as Southwest monsoon will intensify stronger and will affect Luzon and Visayas. Rain is likely to persist within 3-5 days over the said area and flash floods and landslide likely over low lying areas.


COVERED (JULY 30-31 00:00UTC) 1 DAY
36.00 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62
38.00 mm PUERTO PRINCESA AFB 9.75 118.73
39.00 mm NAGA/LUZON ISLAND 13.58 123.27
39.00 mm PILI 13.57 123.27
41.00 mm BORONGAN/SAMAR ISL 11.62 125.43
41.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97
41.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23
58.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73
60.00 mm DIPOLOG/MINDANAO IL 8.60 123.35
67.00 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03
70.00 mm SAN FRANCISCO 13.37 122.52
75.00 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63

COVERED (JULY 29-31 00:00UTC) 3 DAYS
137.00 mm CORON/CALAMIAN GRP 12.00 120.20
143.00 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03

COVERED (JULY 25-31 00:00UTC) 7 DAYS
200.20 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63
205.08 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23
224.61 mm CORON/CALAMIAN GRP 12.00 120.20
244.14 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

STRONG SHEAR INHIBIT INTENSIFICATIONS OF 90W, 93W AND 94W INVESTS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 4P[07:30UTC] JULY 28, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

VORTICES

WIND

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR
Strong shear over the philippines inhibit possible formation of tropical cyclone

RAINRATE



7-28-09

330P

ALERT 94W INVEST

LOCATION: 14.3N, 117.2E (380KM W METRO MANILA)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1005.5MB
MOVEMENT: WNW 5KT/9KPH
NEXT 12HRS: 15-20KT/28-37KPH 14.9N, 115.9E

ALERT 93W INVEST

LOCATION: 9.5N, 138.5E (1250KM E NORTHERN MINDANAO)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1005.1MB
MOVEMENT: WSW-W 5KT/9KPH
NEXT 12HRS: 20-25KT/37-46KPH

ALERT 90W INVEST

LOCATION: 22.9N, 144.1E (OPEN PACIFIC)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1003.7MB
MOVEMENT: NNE 11KT/20KPH
NEXT 12HRS: EXTRA TROPICAL LOW

RAINFALL

AS OF JULY 28 2009 4:00P

COVERED (JULY 26-27 12:00UTC) 1 DAY
38.00 mm DAGUPAN/LUZON ISL 16.05 120.33
44.00 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
44.00 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
46.00 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03
46.00 mm INFANTA/LUZON ISL 14.75 121.65
53.00 mm CORON/CALAMIAN GRP 12.00 120.20
57.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97

COVERED (JULY 24-27 12:00UTC) 3 DAYS
103.00 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
106.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73
115.00 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63
123.00 mm INFANTA/LUZON ISL 14.75 121.65
125.00 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62
130.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
155.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23

COVERED (JULY 21-27 12:00UTC) 7 DAYS
no rainfall 200mm and beyond

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

90W INVEST LIKELY TO DEVELOP, UNNAMED SENDS RAIN OVER LUZON AND VISAYAS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 4P[08:30UTC] JULY 26, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

RAINRATE

WIND

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR

VORTICES



7-26-09

4P

SEVERE ALERT 90W INVEST

LOCATION: 18.3N, 149.8E (410KM E NORTHERN GUAM)
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT (37-46KPH)
SLP: 1007.0MB
MOVEMENT: W SLOWLY
NEXT 12HRS: MINIMAL DEPRESSION 25KT/46KPH 18.3N, 149.2E

ALERT 91W

LOCATION: 13.2N, 159.7E (OPEN PACIFIC)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1006MB
MOVEMENT: WNW SLOWLY
NEXT 12HRS: 20-25KT (14.0N, 159.1E)

ALERT 92W

LOCATION: 5.7N, 149.7E (CAROLINE ISLANDS)
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT (28-37KPH)
SLP: 1007.3MB
MOVEMENT: WNW SLOWLY
NEXT 12HRS: 20-25KT


WARNING UNNAMED

15-16N, 125-127E (PHILIPPINE SEA)

COVERED (JULY 25-26 00:00UTC) 1 DAY
36.00 mm COTABATO/MINDANAO 7.17 124.22
40.00 mm MALABANG/MINDANAO 7.62 124.07
41.00 mm MACTAN INTL(CIV/AF) 10.30 123.97
42.00 mm BACOLOD/NEGROS ISL 10.65 122.93
42.00 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97
45.00 mm KALIBO/PANAY ISLAND 11.68 122.38
47.00 mm CUYO ISLANDS 10.85 121.03
49.00 mm SAN FRANCISCO 13.37 122.52
50.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73
52.00 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
52.00 mm DUMAGUETE/NEGROS IL 9.30 123.30
55.00 mm ALABAT ISLAND 14.08 122.02
58.00 mm ROXAS/PANAY ISLAND 11.58 122.75
61.00 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63
73.00 mm INFANTA/LUZON ISL 14.75 121.65
80.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
90.00 mm ROMBLON/TABLAS ISL 12.58 122.27
96.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23

COVERED (JULY 24-26 00:00UTC) 3 DAYS
100.00 mm BORONGAN/SAMAR ISL 11.62 125.43
101.00 mm CATBALOGAN/SAMAR IL 11.78 124.88
103.00 mm CATARMAN/SAMAR ISL 12.48 124.63
122.00 mm MACATAN 12.37 123.62

COVERED (JULY 20-26 00:00UTC) 7 DAYS
no rainfall 200mm and beyond

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

97W STRUGGLE, PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE EXPECTED TOMORROW

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 3P[06:30UTC] JULY 21, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

97W WIND AND CONVECTION

VORTICES

RAINRATE

SHEAR

UPPER DIVERGENCE

WIND


TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WARNING 97W INVEST

6N, 147.5E (CAROLINE ISLAND)
WS: 10-15KT/19-28KPH
SLP: 1010.2MB
M: W 3KT/6KPH
NEXT 12HRS: WARNING AT 10-15KT

COVERED (JULY 20-21 00:00UTC) 1 DAY
36.00 mm CALBAYOG/SAMAR ISL 12.07 124.55
37.00 mm TAYABAS 14.03 121.58
59.00 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
111.00 mm DAVAO/FRANCISCO BAN 7.12 125.65

COVERED (JULY 19-21 00:00UTC) 3 DAYS
114.00 mm DAVAO/FRANCISCO BAN 7.12 125.65

COVERED (JULY 15-21 00:00UTC) 7 DAYS
224.61 mm MUNOZ/LUZON ISLAND 15.72 120.90
253.91 mm CASIGURAN/LUZON ISL 16.28 122.12
258.79 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

07W/MOLAVE WILL HIT HONGKONG, 95W INVEST DEVELOPING OFF EASTERN VISAYAS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 5P[08:30UTC] JULY 18, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

07W WIND AND CONVECTION


95W INVEST WIND AND CONVECTION


96W WIND AND CONVECTION

SHEAR

RAINRATE

WIND

UPPER DIVERGENCE

VORTICES



AS OF 5P

SEVERE STORM 07W/MOLAVE (ISANG)
LOCATION: 21.7N, 117.2E (430KM WEST OF EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON);
WINDSPEED: 55-70KT/102-130KPH;
SLP: 983.3MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 10KT/19KPH;
VORTICES: VERY HIGH;
EYE TEMP: 3.0C AT 13KM;
SHEAR: 20KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: FAIR AT 10KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: SEVERE STORM 50-55KT/92-102KPH AT 22.5N, 115.0E

ALERT 95W INVEST
LOCATION: 12.4N, 131.6E (610KM EAST OF VISAYAS);
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT/28-37KPH;
SLP: 1008.1MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 5KT/9KPH;
VORTICES: LOW;
EYE TEMP: 0.0C AT 10KM;
SHEAR: 15KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: FAIR AT 10KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: ALERT AT 15-20KT

ALERT 96W INVEST
LOCATION: 23.6N, 155.8E (OPEN PACIFIC);
WINDSPEED: 15-20KT/28-37KPH;
SLP: 1004.2MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 5KT/9KPH;
VORTICES: LOW-MODERATE;
EYE TEMP: 3.0C AT 17KM;
SHEAR: 25KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: WEAK AT -10KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: ALERT AT 15-20KT

07W is expected to made landfall near HongKong late tonight or early morning as severe storm at 50-55kt wind maximum.

95W expected to be watch though it is poorly organized however, it is expected to become a severe alert within 24hrs.

96W meantime still organizing but 25kt shear inhibit its intensification, thus it is likely to remain as alert within 24hrs.


COVERED (JULY 17-18 03:00UTC) 1 DAY
36.00 mm BUTUAN/MINDANAO ISL 8.93 125.52
36.00 mm TACLOBAN/LEYTE ISL 11.25 125.00
43.00 mm OZAMIS/MINDANAO ISL 8.18 123.85
49.00 mm APARRI RADAR 18.37 121.62
53.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97
57.00 mm ILIGAN/MINDANAO ISL 8.15 124.22
59.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97
62.00 mm LUMBIA AIRPORT 8.43 124.28
63.00 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
63.00 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
69.00 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
71.00 mm CAGAYAN DE ORO 8.48 124.63
106.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08
131.00 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53

COVERED (JULY 16-18 00:00UTC) 3 DAYS
101.00 mm CALAPAN/MINDORO ISL 14.63 121.02
108.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08
113.00 mm MANILA/LUZON ISLAND 14.58 120.98
113.00 mm NINOY AQUINO INTL 14.52 121.00
113.00 mm SANGLEY POINT AB 14.50 120.92
115.00 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
132.00 mm BALER RADAR 15.75 121.63
135.00 mm BAGUIO/LUZON ISLAND 16.42 120.60
135.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97
140.00 mm TUGUEGARAO/LUZON IL 17.62 121.73
150.00 mm SANTO-TOMAS MTN 16.33 120.57
178.00 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53
179.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97
182.00 mm BALER/LUZON ISLAND 15.77 121.57
217.00 mm MUNOZ/LUZON ISLAND 15.72 120.90
224.00 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97
243.00 mm CASIGURAN/LUZON ISL 16.28 122.12

COVERED (JULY 12-18 03:00UTC) 7 DAYS
200.20 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08
205.08 mm BALER/LUZON ISLAND 15.77 121.57
209.96 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
209.96 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
224.61 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53
229.49 mm MUNOZ/LUZON ISLAND 15.72 120.90
249.02 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97
249.02 mm CASIGURAN/LUZON ISL 16.28 122.12

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

07W (ISANG) THREATHENS NORTHERN LUZON, SOUTHWEST MONSOON GET STRONGER

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 3P[06:30UTC] JULY 16, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

94W CONVECTION

07W CONVECTION

94W WIND

07W WIND

VORTICES

UPPER DIVERGENCE

SHEAR

RAINRATE

AS OF 3P

MINIMAL STORM 07W (ISANG)

LOCATION: 17.0N, 125.1E (APPROXIMATELY 260KM EAST OF ISABELA);
WINDSPEED: 35-45KT/65-83KPH;
SLP: 999.9MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 8KT/15KPH;
VORTICES: VERY HIGH;
EYE TEMP: 2.0C;
SHEAR: 20KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: GOOD AT 20KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: STRONG STORM 40-45KT

SEVERE ALERT 94W INVEST

LOCATION: 19.2N, 107.3E (APPROXIMATELY 180KM EAST OF NORTHERN VIETNAM);
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT/37-46KPH;
SLP: 1001.7MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 10KT/19KPH;
VORTICES: HIGH;
EYE TEMP: 1.0C AT 8KM;
SHEAR: 5KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: FAIR AT 10KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: SEVERE ALERT 20KT

COVERED (JULY 15-16 03:00UTC) 1 DAY
35.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97
39.00 mm APARRI RADAR 18.37 121.62
39.00 mm APARRI/LUZON ISLAND 18.37 121.63
40.00 mm BAGUIO/LUZON ISLAND 16.42 120.60
40.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
42.00 mm LEGAZPI/LUZON ISL 13.13 123.73
47.00 mm ALABAT ISLAND 14.08 122.02
47.00 mm DAET/LUZON ISLAND 14.13 122.98
53.00 mm BALER RADAR 15.75 121.63
53.00 mm MUNOZ/LUZON ISLAND 15.72 120.90
55.00 mm NAGA/LUZON ISLAND 13.58 123.27
55.00 mm PILI 13.57 123.27
62.00 mm CABANANATUAN/LUZON 15.48 120.97
63.00 mm VIRAC/CATANDUANES 13.58 124.23
76.00 mm BALER/LUZON ISLAND 15.77 121.57
82.00 mm TUGUEGARAO/LUZON IL 17.62 121.73
88.00 mm CASIGURAN/LUZON ISL 16.28 122.12
COVERED (JULY 14-16 03:00UTC) 3 DAYS
142.00 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
142.00 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33

COVERED (JULY 10-16 03:00UTC) 7 DAYS
200.20 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
200.20 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
288.09 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
385.74 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53

07W (ISANG) THREATHENS NORTHERN LUZON

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 3P[06:30UTC] JULY 15, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

94W WIND

94W CONVECTION

MINIMAL DEPRESSION 07W (ISANG) WIND

MINIMAL DEPRESSION 07W (ISANG) CONVECTION

RAINRATE

WIND

SHEAR

UPPER DIVERGENCE

VORTICES

AS OF 3P

MINIMAL DEPRESION 07W (ISANG)

LOCATION: 14.6N, 127.7E (APPROXIMATELY 320KM EAST OF CATANDUANES);
WINDSPEED: 25-35KT/46-65KPH;
SLP: 1005.4MB;
MOVEMENT: NORTHWEST AT 10KT/19KPH;
VORTICES: HIGH;
EYE TEMP: 1.0C;
SHEAR: 7.5KT; UPPER DIVERGENCE: GOOD AT 20KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: MINIMAL STORM 35-40KT

SEVERE ALERT 94W INVEST

LOCATION: 18.9N, 113.4E (APPROXIMATELY 290KM EAST OF HAINAN, CHINA);
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT/37-46KPH;
SLP: 1003.2MB;
MOVEMENT: WESTNORTHWEST AT 10KT/19KPH;
VORTICES: HIGH;
EYE TEMP: 0.5C;
SHEAR: 15KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: POOR AT 5KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: SEVERE ALERT 20KT

07W expected to intensify as deep convective band started to improved as TUTT developing over NE expected to provide some poleward outflow as upper divergence improved also.

It is under the steering influence of SW quandrant of High over Pacific and expected to move more NW to WNW within 24-48hrs

COVERED (JULY 14-15 03:00UTC) 1 DAY
40.00 mm CATANDUANES RADAR 13.98 124.32
47.00 mm BORONGAN/SAMAR ISL 11.62 125.43

COVERED (JULY 13-15 00:03UTC) 3 DAYS
119.00 mm TANDAG/MINDANAO ISL 9.07 126.17
143.00 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
143.00 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33

COVERED (JULY 9-15 03:00UTC) 7 DAYS
200.20 mm BISLIG/MINDANAO ISL 8.22 126.32
200.20 mm HINATUAN/MINDANAO 8.37 126.33
322.27 mm VIGAN/LUZON ISLAND 17.57 120.38
380.86 mm LAOAG INTL(PH-ARMY) 18.18 120.53

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK