99W INVEST INTENSIFYING... LIKELY TO BECOME DEPRESSION WITHIN 24-48HRS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 11A[02:30UTC] JULY 08, 2009)
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SHEAR
99w invest shear remain very low at 5-10kt

WIND
Broad area of circulation moves further west as encircled

VORTICES
99w invest vortices remain light as of the moment with multiple light vortices also scattered over east and west of the philippines

UPPER DIVERGENCE
good upper divergence observed over 99w invest at 20kt

RAIN ANALYSIS
convection at level 4-5 persist over near LLCC

PRESSURE
1008mb over 99w Invest

99w WIND
remain disorganized

99W CONVECTION/CLOUDTOP
not much deep and intense convection observed


AS OF 11A

ALERT 99W INVEST

LOCATION: 18.1N, 130.4E;
WINDSPEED: 10-15KT/19-28KPH;
SLP: 1007.9MB;
MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10KT/19KPH;
VORTICES: LIGHT;
EYE TEMP: 0.5C;
SHEAR: 7.5KT;
UPPER DIVERGENCE: GOOD AT 20KT;
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 12HRS: SEVERE ALERT (20-25KT)

99w invest continues to consolidate for the past 6hrs. though shear and upper divergence improving, vortices remain light as of the moment however, it is likely to intensify as it expected to pick up strength over warm water. it is likely to reach severe alert within 12-24hrs and likely to moves more westward as high pressure over SE japan still act as primary steering influence over western pacific

COVERED (JULY 6-7 21:00UTC) 1 DAY
37.00 mm OLONGAPO 14.80 120.27

COVERED (JULY 5-7 21:00UTC) 3 DAYS
111.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97

COVERED (JULY 1-7 21:00UTC) 7 DAYS
209.96 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK