POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 48-72HRS

IMAGES OF THE DAY
(AS OF 11P[14:30UTC] JULY 05, 2009)
CLICK IMAGES TO SEE CLOSE UP VIEW

WIND ANALYSIS
a broad circulation spotted east of Mindanao will be watch within the next 2-3 days

VORTICES
series of low-moderate vortices spread over the county indicating instability over the area

UPPER DIVERGENCE
no upper divergence registered

SHEAR
broad low wind shear at 5kt near the said broad circulation

RAIN ANALYSIS
series of small Level 2-5 convection over the country

PRESSURE
1008mb low over caroline is


DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE AT 8-10N, 137-140E BASED ON 10M WIND ANALYSIS

weak southwesterly windflow and weak monsoon trough continues to affect the country however, southwesterly windflow expected to slowly intensify as shortwave trough expected to moves further east and low wind shear expected to reach the country within the next 24-36hrs.


COVERED (JULY 4-5 9:00UTC) 1 DAY
35.00 mm INFANTA/LUZON ISL 14.75 121.65
38.00 mm DUMAGUETE/NEGROS IL 9.30 123.30
38.00 mm MACTAN INTL(CIV/AF) 10.30 123.97
49.00 mm MALAYBALAY/MINDANAO 8.15 125.08
51.00 mm OLONGAPO 14.80 120.27
59.00 mm DAGUPAN/LUZON ISL 16.05 120.33
80.00 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97
86.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97

COVERED (JULY 3-5 9:00UTC) 3 DAYS
101.00 mm NAULA POINT/LUZON 15.70 119.97

COVERED (JUNE 29-JULY 5 9:00UTC) 7 DAYS
219.73 mm IBA/LUZON ISLAND 15.33 119.97