WELCOME TO TYPHOON AND WEATHER IMAGERY. THIS BLOG CONTAINS REAL TIME WEATHER, TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES AND IMAGERY, AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST. CONTENTS OF DROP DOWN MENU CAN BE FOUND AFTER PHILIPPINE IMAGERY BELOW (SCROLL DOWNWARD). THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR VISITING THIS SITE. YOU ARE FREE TO MAKE ANY COMMENT(S) OR FEEDBACK(S) ABOUT THIS BLOG. As of 10AM JUNE 12, 2018 SOUTHWEST MONSOON COMBINED WITH 93W INVEST EXPECTED TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS AT TIMES VERY HEAVY OVER LUZON AND WESTERN VISAYAS PARTICULARLY WESTERN SECTION

ACTIVE LOW OR TROPICAL CYCLONES

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99W

PRAPIROON/FLORITA

91W

LANGUAGE TRANSLATION

LAS PINAS CITY REALTIME DATA (CREDITS: MANILA OBSERVATORY)

PRESSURE TEMPERATURE RAINFALL WINDSPEED SOLAR RADIATION

PHILIPPINES THERMAL HIMAWARI SATELLITE IMAGERY (10 MINUTES UPDATE, CLICK IMAGE FOR ANIMATION) AND RAINFALL MAP (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)


REAL TIME HOURLY SURFACE WIND AND RAINRATE WITH VALUE

CREDIT: VENTUSKY

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DOPPLER RADARs (CREDITS: CLIMATEX)

TYPHOON VAMCO WEAKENING

IMAGERY OF TYPHOON VAMCO

TYPHOON VAMCO STRUCTURE

EYE OF TYPHOON VAMCO


8-24-09 1P

LOCATION: 31.80N, 154.82E (OPEN PACIFIC)
MSLP: 966MB
WINDSPEED: 80-95KT (148-176KPH [DVORAK: MSLP: 927.5MB VMAX:112.4KT/208KPH])
MOVEMENT: N 10KT/19KPH
RAINRATE: 21MM/HR
EYE TEMP: +3C 13.0KM HIGH 75KM RADIUS (DVORAK: +5.6C)
NEXT 12HRS: 75-85KT/139-157KPH


DISCUSSION:

TYPHOON (TY) 11W (VAMCO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 955 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, 11W HAS STARTED A NORTHWARD TRACK. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT NEAR THE RAGGED EYE, WITH A SLIGHT ELONGATION IN THE CIRCULATION FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO EAST-SOUTHEAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE WESTERN OUTFLOW INTO THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL HAS BEEN BROKEN BY A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 11W. THE EASTERN OUTFLOW BEING SUPPORTED BY ANOTHER TUTT CELL TO THE SOUTHEAST HAS STARTED TO DIMINISH AS THE SEPARATION OF 11W AND THE TUTT CELL INCREASES. OVERALL, VAMCO REMAINS BUFFERED FROM SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO ITS COMPACT SIZE AND THE LACK OF DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. ANIMATED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY INDICATES DRY AIR CONTINUES TO WRAP AROUND THE PERIMETER OF 11W, BUT HAS YET TO PENETRATE INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) HAS BEEN DECREASING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND ARE APPROACHING 28 C.

TY 11W WILL BEGIN TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CONTINUED TO DIG TO THE SOUTHEAST, AND THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE STEERING TY 11W RE-ORIENTS WITH THE APPROACHING TROUGH. 11W WILL MOVE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH CAUSING AN INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TY 11W WILL START EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ET) BY TAU 24 WITH ET COMPLETION BY TAU 36. DECREASING SST VALUES, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO WEAKEN TY 11W AFTER TAU 24. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE ET BY TAU 36, THE REMNANT LOW WILL MAINTAIN STORM FORCE INTENSITY AS IT RAPIDLY TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK AND ASSOCIATED INTENSITY.

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