SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT THREATHENS LUZON.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 2P OCTOBER 19, 2009)

SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

WIND
VORTICITY AND WATER VAPOR
FORECAST TRACK
STRUCTURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
PRESSURE AND EXPLANATION
EYE OF RAMIL
POSITION BASED ON ECMWF MODEL 12:00UTC OCTOBER 21
POSITION BASED ON ECMWF MODEL 12:00UTC OCTOBER 22

AS OF 130P

SUPER TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 4

LOCATION: 19.00N, 133.28E (1130KM E CALAYAN IS.)
MSLP: 922MB
WINDSPEED: 135-165KT (250-306KPH)
MOVEMENT: WNW TO W SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): +3.08C (EYE)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-73.73C)
VORTICES: 300
NEXT 12HRS: 135-140KT/250-259KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 913.32MB VMAX: 132KT/244KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 906.0MB VMAX: 135KT/250KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 906.9MB VMAX: 136KT/252KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 930MB VMAX: 126KT/233KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 925MB VMAX: 122KT/226KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 135KT/257KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 175-210KPH

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST

SEVERE ALERT

LOCATION: 16.6N, 110.3E (230KM E NORTHERN VIETNAM)
MSLP: 1006MB
WINDSPEED: 20-25KT (37-46KPH)
MOVEMENT: NNW SLOWLY
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -N/AC
CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (N/AC)
NEXT 12HRS: 20KT/37KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 1003.2MB VMAX: 22KT/41KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): MSLP: 1003.5MB VMAX: 23KT/43KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 0KPH

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