TC MEGI RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING, HURRICANE PAULA NEARS CARRIBEAN ISLANDS; 91W; 93W

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W OCTOBER 14 2010 1032A (0232UTC)

STAGE: 6 OF 15	CATEGORY: INTENSE STORM	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:55 GUST: 70	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 982
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 51	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 990.5	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): -7.2	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -45.5
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 55	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 989.9	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 65

POSITION: 12.14N, 139.44E/495KM E OF PAR
FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT SPEED AND POSITION (14.12N, 134.64E)

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TCFA 91W OCTOBER 14 2010 1043A (0243UTC)

STAGE: 1	CATEGORY: TCFA	INTENSITY (kt): MAX: 20 GUST: 25	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 1007
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 18	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 1005.9	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): N/A	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): N/A
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 17	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 1006.45	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 20

POSITION: 10.4N, 131.7E/745KM E OF NORTHERN LEYTE

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST OCTOBER 14 2010 1053A (0253UTC)

STAGE: 0 OF 15	CATEGORY: WARNING	INTENSITY (kt): MAX 15 GUST 20	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 1010
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): N/A	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): N/A	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): N/A	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): N/A
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN in kt): 15	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN in mb): 1010	RAINRATE (MM): +25	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS): 15kt

POSITION: 10.0N, 113.6E/155KM WEST OF PAR


NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN: CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE PAULA


NORTH INDIAN OCEAN: TCFA 95B


NOTE: there are 3 possible track scenario over tropical cyclone megi (see figure above for more info)


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