TROPICAL CYCLONE TEMBIN IGME 15W 2012

TROPICAL CYCLONE TEMBIN/IGME 15W (FOR LATEST POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY)

REAL TIME THUNDERSTORM/PRECIPITATION IMAGERY (CLICK TO ZOOM IN, CTRL CLICK TO ZOOM OUT) -30°C: +2.5mm; -50°C: +5mm; -70°C: +15mm; -85°C: +25mm -95°C: +35mm; -110°C: +50mm

REAL TIME DVORAK (FOR REALTIME POSITION) movies (CLICK TO ZOOM IN, CTRL CLICK TO ZOOM OUT)

REAL TIME THERMAL IR IMAGERY (UPDATED EVERY 30 MINUTES)

REAL TIME VISIBLE (UPDATED EVERY 30 MINUTES)

REAL TIME WIND AND IR IMAGERY	REAL TIME DVORAK TIME SERIES
REAL TIME RBTOP IMAGERY (CLICK IMAGERY TO ANIMATE)	WUNDERGROUND REAL TIME IMAGERY

FORECAST TRACK

>TROPICAL STORM RISK

CLOSE UP RELATIVE VORTICITY (CLICK TO VIEW LARGER)

CLOSE UP WIND SHEAR AND DIRECTION (CLICK TO VIEW LARGER)

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (WITH SUNSHINE ONLY)

VISIBLE MODIS IMAGERY (250M ZOOOM)

SATCON AMSU BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE

SATCON WIND CHART

STEERING WIND ANALYSIS (CLICK TO SEE CLOSEUP)

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIGNAL NO: CLICK HERE

CLICK LINKS BELOW FOR OTHER REAL TIME (MOST UPDATED) INFORMATIONS

RAMMB-CIRA REAL TIME SITESATELLITE FIXJTWC WARNINGTRACK FILE TEXTNRL SSMI RAINRATENRL REAL TIME INFO SITEOTHER MODEL TRACKEUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST (ECMWF)TRACK, RAINFALL, CURRENT INTENSITYDISCUSSION/PROGNOSIS30MIN JTWC REAL TIME ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES30MIN RSMC REAL TIME ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUESTROPICAL STORM RISKSATCON INFOTYPHOON 2000 DISCUSSIONPAGASAUW-CIMSS IMAGERYMIMIC WIND AND IR---------- NO IMAGERY AND OTHER SITE ----------

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TROPICAL CYCLONE MAWAR [AMBO] 04W 2012

TROPICAL CYCLONE MAWAR [AMBO] 04W (FOR LATEST POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY)

REAL TIME THUNDERSTORM/PRECIPITATION IMAGERY (CLICK TO ZOOM IN, CTRL CLICK TO ZOOM OUT) -30°C: +2.5mm; -50°C: +5mm; -70°C: +15mm; -85°C: +25mm -95°C: +35mm; -110°C: +50mm

REAL TIME THERMAL IR IMAGERY (UPDATED EVERY 30 MINUTES)

REAL TIME VISIBLE (UPDATED EVERY 30 MINUTES)

REAL TIME WIND AND IR IMAGERY	REAL TIME DVORAK IMAGERY CLICK IMAGERY TO SEE 30MIN UPDATE OF POSITION, INTENSITY AND OTHER INFORMATION (IN TEXT)
REAL TIME RBTOP IMAGERY (CLICK IMAGERY TO ANIMATE)	WUNDERGROUND REAL TIME IMAGERY

FORECAST TRACK

>TROPICAL STORM RISK

CLOSE UP RELATIVE VORTICITY (CLICK TO VIEW LARGER)

CLOSE UP WIND SHEAR AND DIRECTION (CLICK TO VIEW LARGER)

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (WITH SUNSHINE ONLY)

VISIBLE MODIS IMAGERY (250M ZOOOM)

STEERING WIND ANALYSIS (CLICK TO SEE CLOSEUP)

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIGNAL NO: CLICK HERE

CLICK LINKS BELOW FOR OTHER REAL TIME (MOST UPDATED) INFORMATIONS

RAMMB-CIRA REAL TIME SITESATELLITE FIXJTWC WARNINGTRACK FILE TEXTNRL SSMI RAINRATENRL REAL TIME INFO SITEOTHER MODEL TRACKEUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST (ECMWF)TRACK, RAINFALL, CURRENT INTENSITYDISCUSSION/PROGNOSIS30MIN JTWC REAL TIME ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES30MIN RSMC REAL TIME ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUESTROPICAL STORM RISKSATCON INFOTYPHOON 2000 DISCUSSIONPAGASAUW-CIMSS IMAGERYMIMIC WIND AND IR---------- NO IMAGERY AND OTHER SITE ----------

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TROPICAL CYCLONE NALGAE 22W (QUIEL) 2011 SUMMARY

TROPICAL CYCLONE NALGAE 22W [QUIEL] SUMMARY

THERMAL IR IMAGERY		THERMAL IR IMAGERY (2)
Multiplatform Tropical Cyclone MSLP and Maximum Winds		TRACK

SUMMARY


MAXIMUM WIND: 130kt AND GUST 160kt
LOWEST PRESSURE: 935mb
ACE: 14.065
DVORAK MAX WIND: 129.6kt
DVORAK SEA LEVEL PRESSURE: 929.4mb


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TROPICAL CYCLONE HAIMA 06W [EGAY] SUMMARY

TROPICAL CYCLONE HAIMA 06W [EGAY] SUMMARY (FOR LATEST POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY)

CLICK IMAGERY TO SEE LOOPING IMAGERY

Multiplatform Tropical Cyclone MSLP and Maximum Winds

SUMMARY


MAXIMUM WIND: 35kt AND GUST 45kt
LOWEST PRESSURE: 985mb
ACE: 3.5725
DVORAK MAX WIND: 47.0kt
DVORAK SEA LEVEL PRESSURE: 988.8mb


JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

MEGI WEAKENS A BIT BUT THREATEN SOUTHERN CHINA; 95W LIKELY TO BECOME NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W[LOCAL: JUAN] OCTOBER 21 2010 1245A (1645UTC)

STAGE: 10 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 3	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:110 GUST: 135	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 941
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 104.6	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 939.9	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): 9.69	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -67.07
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 111	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 934.9	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 100

POSITION: 18.74n, 117.36E/350KM W OF ILOCOS SUR (MWS: 204KPH-250KPH)
FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITION (19.22N, 117.36E/405KM W OF CALAYAN GRP)

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TCFA 95W/PRE-16W OCTOBER 21 2010 0100A (1700UTC)

STAGE: 1	CATEGORY: TCFA	INTENSITY (kt): MAX: 20 GUST: 25	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 1007
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 24	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 1007.0	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): N/A	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): N/A
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 22	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 1007.0	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 25

POSITION: 16.5N, 145.6E/1175KM E OF PAR

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98W OCTOBER 21 2010 0102A (1702UTC)

STAGE: 0	CATEGORY: WARNING	INTENSITY (KT): MAX: 15 GUST: 20	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 1010
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (KT): 25	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 1007.3	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): N/A	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): N/A
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 20	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 1008.65	RAINRATE (MM): +25	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS): 15

POSITION: 15.0N,163.1E/OPEN WESTERN PACIFIC




JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

MEGI QUICKLY BACK TO SEA, EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY BACK TO CATEGORY 3

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W[LOCAL: JUAN] OCTOBER 19 2010 1223A (1623UTC)

STAGE: 9 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 2	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:95 GUST: 115	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 952
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 115	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 929.1	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): -25.0	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -58.3
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 104	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 937.07	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 105

POSITION: 17.25N, 119.14E/140KM W OF ILOCOS SUR (MWS: 176KPH-213KPH)

FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITION (18.45N, 116.74E/420KM W OF ILOCOS NORTE)

TROPICAL CYCLONE SIGNAL NO: CLICK HERE

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

SUPER TYPHOON CATEGORY 5 MEGI NOW OVER THE COAST OF CAGAYAN LANDFALL EXPECTED WITHIN 30 MINUTES

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W[LOCAL: JUAN] OCTOBER 18 2010 1107A (0307UTC)

STAGE: 13 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 5	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:145 GUST: 175	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 917
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 152	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 884.9	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): 12.74	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -75.31
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 146	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 899.6	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 135

POSITION: 17.36N, 122.62E/50KM E OF COAST OF ISABELA-CAGAYAN AREA (MWS: 269KPH-324KPH)
FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITION (16.52N, 120.94E/50KM ENE BAGUIO CITY)
TROPICAL CYCLONE SIGNAL NO: CLICK HERE
ENTRY POINT: CAGAYAN-ISABELA AREA; EXIT POINT: PANGASINAN


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SUPER CATEGORY 5 TYPHOON MEGI NEARS CAGAYAN.. LANDFALL EXPECTED AT 1130-12P

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W[LOCAL: JUAN] OCTOBER 18 2010 0857A (0057UTC)

STAGE: 13 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 5	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:145 GUST: 180	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 917
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 155	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 881.0	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): 17.11	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -77.33
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 147	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 898.3	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 145

POSITION: 17.47N, 123.32E/90KM E OF COAST OF ISABELA-CAGAYAN AREA (MWS: 269KPH-333KPH)
FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITION (17.29N, 122.24E/COAST OF CAGAYAN-ISABELA AREA)
TROPICAL CYCLONE SIGNAL NO: CLICK HERE
ENTRY POINT: CAGAYAN-ISABELA AREA; EXIT POINT: PANGASINAN


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MEGI GONE INTO RAPID INTENSIFICATION NOW A CATEGORY 5 TYPHOON AND INTENSIFYING MORE....

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W[LOCAL: JUAN] OCTOBER 17 2010 1013A (0213UTC)

STAGE: 13 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 5	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:140 GUST: 170	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 918
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 140	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 899.7	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): 13.41	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -74.94
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 136	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 910.6	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 150

POSITION: 18.66N, 126.74E/580KM E OF APARRI, CAGAYAN (MWS: 259KPH-315KPH)

FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT MOVEMENT AND POSITION (18.12N, 125.66E/460KM E OF APARRI, CAGAYAN)

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

MEGI NOW A CATEGORY 2 UNDERGOING RI... TS PAULA; 93W; 97B

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE MEGI/15W OCTOBER 15 2010 1044A (0244UTC)

STAGE: 9 OF 15	CATEGORY: TYPHOON 2	INTENSITY (kt): MAX:90 GUST: 110	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 956
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 72	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MB): 973.1	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): -72.4	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): -74.2
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN IN KT): 82	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN IN MB): 963.73	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS IN KT): 100

POSITION: 14.06N, 136.47E/165KM E PAR OR 1360KM E OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES (MWS: 167KPH-204KPH)
FORECAST: NEXT 6HRS BASED ON CURRENT SPEED AND POSITION (14.54N, 135.63E)

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 93W INVEST OCTOBER 15 2010 1056A (0256UTC)

STAGE: 0 OF 15	CATEGORY: WARNING	INTENSITY (kt): MAX 15 GUST 20	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 1010
DVORAK INTENSITY
INTENSITY (kt): 27	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb): 1005.1	CENTRAL REGION TEMP (°C): N/A	CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP (°C): N/A
ANALYSIS
INTENSITY (MEAN in kt): 21	SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (MEAN in mb): 1007.5	RAINRATE (MM): +35	FORECAST INTENSITY (NEXT 12HRS): 15kt

POSITION: 14.5N, 109.9E/100KM E OF QUANG NGAL, VIETNAM




OTHER ACTIVE SYSTEM


NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN: STRONG TROPICAL STORM PAULA


NORTH INDIAN OCEAN: STRONG DEPRESSION 97B




JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TC COLIN RE-INTENSIFY; 96W INVEST NOW SUBJECT FOR TCFA; 07E DEVELOP OVER EASTERN PACIFIC

LATEST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 96W/PRE-05W INVEST AUGUST 06 2010 1128P (1528UTC)

CATEGORY	VALUE
STAGE	1
DESCRIPTION	TCFA
MAXIMUM WIND (kt)	20	GUSTINESS	25
(kph)	37	GUSTINESS	46
CURRENT SEA LEVEL PRESSURE (mb)	1006
SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS (kt)	16	MSLP (mb)	1005.4
ADVANCE DVORAK TECHNIQUES (ADT) (kt)	n/a	MSLP (mb)	n/a
CENTRAL REGION TEMP:	-0°C	DESCRIPTION	center
CENTRAL CLOUD TEMP:	-0°C	RAINRATE (IN mm/hr)	+50
FORECAST (NEXT 12HRS)	25 kt	STAGE:	2

POSITION: 19.5N, 125.8E/380KM E OF BATANES GROUP OF ISLAND

OTHER ACTIVE SYSTEM: JUST CLICK TO SEE UPDATED IMAGERY AND INTENSITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE COLIN

TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

LUPIT STILL WEAKENING, SLOWLY MOVING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 10A OCTOBER 23, 2009)

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

EYE
RAIN ANALYSIS
STRUCTURE
WIND

TROPICAL STORM LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

INTENSE STAGE

LOCATION: 18.63N, 123.12E (110KM ENE APARRI, CAGAYAN)
MSLP: 978MB
WINDSPEED: 60-75KT (111-139KPH)
MOVEMENT: W 3KT/6KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -64.33C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-68.68C)
VORTICES: 250
NEXT 12HRS: 60-65KT/111-120KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 972.95MB VMAX: 71KT/132KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 965.3MB VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 965.3MB VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 978.7MB VMAX: 67KT/124KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: N/AMB VMAX: 0KT/0KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 60KT/120KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 120-150KPH

JUST VOTE OR COMMENT FOR FEEDBACK

TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWED DOWN BEGINNING ITS POLEWARD MOVEMENT

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY (AS OF 230P OCTOBER 22, 2009)

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W) IMAGERY

72-120HR FORECAST TRACK

PRESSURE
RAIN ANALYSIS
VORTICITY AND VAPOR IMAGERY

WIND

OCT 29-31 ECMWF FORECAST FOR NEW DISTURBANCE

TYPHOON LUPIT (RAMIL/22W)

CATEGORY 1

LOCATION: 18.80N, 124.56E (255KM E CALAYAN GROUP)
MSLP: 963MB
WINDSPEED: 80-100KT (148-185KPH)
MOVEMENT: WSW 5KT/9KPH
RAINRATE: +30-40MM/HR
CENTER TEMP.: (DVORAK): -61.07C (CENTER)
DEEPEST CONVECTION: HEAVY-SEVERE (-58.34C)
VORTICES: 200
NEXT 12HRS: 80-85KT/148-157KPH

DVORAK
MSLP : 969.2MB VMAX: 75KT/139KPH

DIFFERENT AGENCIES:
(JTWC): MSLP : 982.5MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RSMC): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(CIMSS): MSLP : 982.4MB VMAX: 59KT/109KPH
(RAMMB-CIRA): 957.1MB VMAX: 87KT/161KPH
(AMSU): MSLP: 954MB VMAX: 98KT/181KPH
(SATCON): MSLP: 957MB VMAX: 88KT/163KPH
(MIMIC): VMAX: 80KT/148KPH
(PAGASA): VMAX: 160-195KPH

NOTE:

Lupit expected to moves more poleward after 72 hours as the said ridge likely to break and thus allow poleward channel to developed over to the NE quandrant of Lupit. This is the reason why Lupit slowly moving and eventually remain stationary for the next 24-48hrs.

Another tropical cyclone likely to develop from oct 29-31 based on ECMWF model.

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